Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:30:45

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 2.5

30-Day Momentum

41
+10.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,927.15
Current Value
$6,545.21
Period P&L
$618.02
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+9.90%
Worst Trade
-1.63%
Avg Trade Return
+2.62%
Avg Hold Time
9.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$48,137.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$618.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$618.02
Gross Return
+10.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,927.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:00am ET $25.14 235 $5,906.73
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $24.91 235 $5,852.68 $5,873.14 $-54.05
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $25.69 228 $5,858.46
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.50 228 $6,040.86 $6,055.54 +$182.40
(+3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $25.76 235 $6,053.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.34 235 $5,954.90 $5,956.84 $-98.70
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 225 $5,941.13
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $29.02 225 $6,529.50 $6,545.21 +$588.37
(+9.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,545.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,454.79
Total Return: -34.55%
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