Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-6.1%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,279.18
Current Value
$8,717.21
Period P&L
$-561.97
Max Drawdown
-44.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.72

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+1.47%
Worst Trade
-3.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,589.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-561.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-561.97
Gross Return
-6.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,279.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.99 178 $9,254.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $51.68 178 $9,199.04 $9,224.00 $-55.18
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $54.63 168 $9,178.68
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.89 168 $9,053.52 $9,098.84 $-125.16
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 163 $9,046.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $54.48 163 $8,880.24 $8,932.58 $-166.26
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $56.15 159 $8,928.25
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $54.33 159 $8,638.47 $8,642.80 $-289.78
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $46.98 183 $8,597.34
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $46.70 183 $8,546.10 $8,591.56 $-51.24
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.58 184 $8,570.72
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.26 184 $8,696.37 $8,717.21 +$125.65
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,717.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,282.79
Total Return: -12.83%
Back to Trent Follower