Compendium › Trent Follower › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+1.83%
Last Month Return
$5,722.87
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$5,620.21
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:16:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.5 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,620.21
Current Value
$5,722.87
Period P&L
$102.59
Max Drawdown
-49.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$45,894.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$102.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$102.59
Gross Return
+1.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,620.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $6.43 874 $5,619.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $6.45 874 $5,638.96 $5,639.42 +$19.14
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $6.34 890 $5,638.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $6.44 890 $5,731.60 $5,732.87 +$93.45
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $6.65 862 $5,731.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $6.86 862 $5,909.01 $5,910.44 +$177.57
(+3.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $6.45 915 $5,906.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $6.25 915 $5,718.75 $5,722.87 $-187.57
(-3.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,722.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,277.13
Total Return: -42.77%
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