Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-08 02:43:32

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.36%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.4/35
Total Return
18.6/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 51.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 50.2

30-Day Momentum

18
+2.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-08 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$26,558.69
Current Value
$29,788.07
Period P&L
$3,229.39
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+9.63%
Worst Trade
-2.79%
Avg Trade Return
+1.73%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$378,752.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,229.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,229.39
Gross Return
+12.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $26,558.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 1,105 $26,553.15
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.36 1,105 $25,812.80 $25,818.33 $-740.35
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $24.22 1,065 $25,794.30
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $25.07 1,065 $26,699.44 $26,723.47 +$905.14
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $27.00 989 $26,703.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $27.42 989 $27,113.44 $27,133.91 +$410.44
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $29.63 915 $27,111.45
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $29.28 915 $26,795.77 $26,818.24 $-315.67
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $27.98 958 $26,804.84
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $28.86 958 $27,647.98 $27,661.38 +$843.14
(+3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $28.23 979 $27,637.07
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $27.73 979 $27,147.57 $27,171.88 $-489.50
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 866 $27,157.76
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $34.38 866 $29,773.95 $29,788.07 +$2,616.19
(+9.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,788.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,788.07
Total Return: +197.88%
Back to Trent Follower