Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:32:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,741
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,664.25
Current Value
$8,244.74
Period P&L
$-419.51
Max Drawdown
-9.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.65

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+1.40%
Worst Trade
-2.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.98%
Avg Hold Time
7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$83,835.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-419.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-419.51
Gross Return
-4.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,664.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.31 68 $8,657.08
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET $126.10 68 $8,574.80 $8,581.97 $-82.28
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 64 $8,528.72
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $129.66 64 $8,298.23 $8,351.49 $-230.48
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 69 $8,272.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $121.57 69 $8,388.33 $8,467.41 +$115.92
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $136.27 62 $8,448.97
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $132.92 62 $8,241.04 $8,259.48 $-207.93
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 59 $8,220.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $139.08 59 $8,205.73 $8,244.74 $-14.74
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,244.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,755.26
Total Return: -17.55%
Back to Trent Follower