Compendium › Trent Follower › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-5.35%
Last Month Return
$9,206.89
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$9,727.59
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,727.59
Current Value
$9,206.89
Period P&L
$-520.73
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-0.23%
Worst Trade
-3.71%
Avg Trade Return
-1.81%
Avg Hold Time
2.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$56,890.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-520.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-520.73
Gross Return
-5.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,727.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $35.25 275 $9,693.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $35.17 275 $9,671.75 $9,705.62 $-22.00
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $30.85 314 $9,688.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $29.71 314 $9,328.94 $9,346.09 $-359.53
(-3.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
25m held
3 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $29.14 320 $9,323.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $28.70 320 $9,184.00 $9,206.89 $-139.20
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,206.89
Net Profit/Loss: $-793.11
Total Return: -7.93%
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