ARM Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 41 trades in period
+39.60%
Last Year Return
$13,111.77
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$9,392.68
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
25.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 25.6
30-Day Momentum
17
+2.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9
Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,662
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,392.68
Current Value
$13,111.77
Period P&L
$3,719.09
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
23 /
18
Best Trade
+9.55%
Worst Trade
-2.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$906,722.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,719.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,719.09
Gross Return
+39.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,392.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $124.02 | 75 | $9,301.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 2:55pm ET | $123.56 | 75 | $9,267.00 | $9,358.16 |
$-34.50 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $132.83 | 70 | $9,298.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 2:50pm ET | $132.92 | 70 | $9,304.40 | $9,364.46 |
+$6.30 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:40am ET | $131.48 | 71 | $9,335.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 2:30pm ET | $134.97 | 71 | $9,582.52 | $9,611.90 |
+$247.44 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $139.08 | 69 | $9,596.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 2:30pm ET | $140.11 | 69 | $9,667.80 | $9,683.18 |
+$71.28 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $140.92 | 68 | $9,582.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 1:40pm ET | $142.08 | 68 | $9,661.10 | $9,761.72 |
+$78.54 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $152.24 | 64 | $9,743.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 1:45pm ET | $158.76 | 64 | $10,160.64 | $10,179.32 |
+$417.60 (+4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $163.19 | 62 | $10,117.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 2:10pm ET | $164.60 | 62 | $10,205.20 | $10,267.02 |
+$87.70 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 10:25am ET | $158.71 | 64 | $10,157.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 1:05pm ET | $156.93 | 64 | $10,043.56 | $10,153.46 |
$-113.56 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $143.79 | 70 | $10,065.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 12:55pm ET | $142.50 | 70 | $9,974.65 | $10,062.81 |
$-90.65 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $137.22 | 73 | $10,017.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 1:55pm ET | $138.83 | 73 | $10,134.59 | $10,180.34 |
+$117.53 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $145.97 | 69 | $10,071.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 2:20pm ET | $151.51 | 69 | $10,454.19 | $10,562.94 |
+$382.60 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $145.20 | 72 | $10,454.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $150.07 | 72 | $10,805.04 | $10,913.58 |
+$350.64 (+3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $157.39 | 69 | $10,859.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:05pm ET | $157.70 | 69 | $10,881.30 | $10,934.97 |
+$21.39 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $167.90 | 65 | $10,913.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $168.40 | 65 | $10,946.00 | $10,967.80 |
+$32.82 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $161.31 | 67 | $10,807.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $174.20 | 67 | $11,671.40 | $11,831.76 |
+$863.96 (+8.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $172.08 | 68 | $11,701.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 1:30pm ET | $171.74 | 68 | $11,678.54 | $11,808.87 |
$-22.90 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:55am ET | $168.76 | 69 | $11,644.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 12:25pm ET | $166.38 | 69 | $11,480.22 | $11,644.48 |
$-164.39 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 10:25am ET | $179.28 | 64 | $11,473.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:50pm ET | $177.89 | 64 | $11,384.96 | $11,555.84 |
$-88.64 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $157.09 | 73 | $11,467.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $155.91 | 73 | $11,381.43 | $11,470.06 |
$-85.78 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.23 | 81 | $11,439.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET | $138.62 | 81 | $11,228.23 | $11,258.66 |
$-211.40 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $134.05 | 83 | $11,125.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $133.05 | 83 | $11,043.15 | $11,176.07 |
$-82.58 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.63 | 95 | $11,174.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET | $114.83 | 95 | $10,908.85 | $10,910.07 |
$-266.00 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.49 | 95 | $10,876.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $115.21 | 95 | $10,944.95 | $10,978.47 |
+$68.40 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.36 | 101 | $10,943.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $106.65 | 101 | $10,771.65 | $10,806.27 |
$-172.21 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.26 | 94 | $10,740.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $112.93 | 94 | $10,615.52 | $10,681.35 |
$-124.92 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $109.60 | 97 | $10,631.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $112.21 | 97 | $10,884.37 | $10,934.52 |
+$253.17 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $129.17 | 84 | $10,850.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $129.93 | 84 | $10,913.70 | $10,998.15 |
+$63.63 (+0.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $127.49 | 86 | $10,963.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $128.26 | 86 | $11,030.36 | $11,064.80 |
+$66.65 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $119.07 | 92 | $10,954.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $121.60 | 92 | $11,187.20 | $11,297.56 |
+$232.76 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $119.81 | 94 | $11,262.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $121.74 | 94 | $11,443.56 | $11,478.98 |
+$181.42 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.83 | 83 | $11,439.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $134.18 | 83 | $11,137.35 | $11,176.44 |
$-302.54 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.35 | 75 | $11,126.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET | $159.49 | 75 | $11,962.12 | $12,011.94 |
+$835.50 (+7.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.74 | 83 | $11,930.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $152.96 | 83 | $12,695.68 | $12,777.62 |
+$765.68 (+6.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.16 | 83 | $12,629.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $148.07 | 83 | $12,289.81 | $12,438.15 |
$-339.47 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.46 | 79 | $12,360.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $151.91 | 79 | $12,000.65 | $12,078.46 |
$-359.69 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $156.74 | 77 | $12,069.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $160.71 | 77 | $12,374.67 | $12,383.77 |
+$305.31 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $163.89 | 75 | $12,291.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $162.00 | 75 | $12,150.00 | $12,242.02 |
$-141.75 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $179.20 | 68 | $12,185.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $174.62 | 68 | $11,874.16 | $11,930.37 |
$-311.65 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $185.65 | 64 | $11,881.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $203.38 | 64 | $13,016.56 | $13,065.33 |
+$1,134.96 (+9.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $209.81 | 62 | $13,008.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $211.48 | 62 | $13,111.76 | $13,168.87 |
+$103.54 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.82 | 62 | $13,008.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $208.90 | 62 | $12,951.80 | $13,111.77 |
$-57.10 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,111.77
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,111.77
Total Return:
+31.12%