Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:46:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,320
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$5,003.29
Current Value
$5,127.61
Period P&L
$-309.91
Max Drawdown
-51.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
63
Winners / Losers
26 / 37
Best Trade
+7.21%
Worst Trade
-2.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$649,857.97
Estimated Fees
$1,624.64
Gross P&L
$-309.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,934.55
Gross Return
-6.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-38.67%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 63 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,003.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 4:10pm ET $17.49 286 $5,003.30
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 10:15pm ET $18.05 286 $5,163.50 $5,138.08 +$134.78
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2025 6:20pm ET $18.81 273 $5,138.08
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2025 9:05pm ET $18.56 273 $5,069.79 $5,044.27 $-93.81
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 12:05pm ET $18.31 275 $5,044.27
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 4:20pm ET $18.59 275 $5,121.41 $5,095.99 +$51.72
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 5:05pm ET $19.42 262 $5,095.99
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 8:40pm ET $19.46 262 $5,106.49 $5,080.98 $-15.01
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 5:45pm ET $20.61 247 $5,080.98
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 2:40am ET $20.90 247 $5,152.48 $5,126.89 +$45.91
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
8.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 7:00pm ET $22.43 229 $5,126.89
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:40pm ET $22.23 229 $5,081.18 $5,055.66 $-71.23
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 7:20pm ET $23.54 215 $5,055.66
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 3:35am ET $24.51 215 $5,263.99 $5,238.19 +$182.53
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
8.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $24.70 212 $5,238.19
🔴 SELL Jul 19, 2025 5:20pm ET $24.37 212 $5,168.20 $5,142.19 $-96.00
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 26, 2025 2:50pm ET $25.59 201 $5,142.19
🔴 SELL Jul 26, 2025 5:10pm ET $25.08 201 $5,038.90 $5,013.45 $-128.74
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2025 6:45pm ET $26.43 190 $5,013.45
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2025 9:20pm ET $25.90 190 $4,912.91 $4,888.10 $-125.35
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 11:30pm ET $24.67 198 $4,888.10
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 5:05am ET $25.20 198 $4,993.11 $4,968.41 +$80.31
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET $23.52 211 $4,968.41
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 6:25pm ET $25.12 211 $5,306.40 $5,280.71 +$312.30
(+6.8%)
TREND_BREAK
8.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2025 4:00am ET $23.92 221 $5,280.71
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2025 7:15am ET $23.89 221 $5,274.09 $5,247.70 $-33.01
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 4:15am ET $25.57 205 $5,247.70
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 7:35am ET $25.01 205 $5,132.77 $5,106.82 $-140.88
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 8:40am ET $27.98 183 $5,106.82
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $28.48 183 $5,198.08 $5,172.32 +$65.50
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 10:55pm ET $29.86 173 $5,172.32
🔴 SELL Sep 13, 2025 4:45am ET $30.92 173 $5,355.93 $5,329.61 +$157.29
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 4:40pm ET $29.83 179 $5,329.61
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 7:35pm ET $29.72 179 $5,309.95 $5,283.36 $-46.25
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 3:55am ET $30.62 173 $5,283.36
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 7:10am ET $30.44 173 $5,252.30 $5,225.96 $-57.40
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 6:50pm ET $31.10 168 $5,225.96
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 1:25am ET $32.65 168 $5,486.42 $5,459.63 +$233.68
(+5.0%)
TREND_BREAK
6.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:50pm ET $34.39 159 $5,459.63
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 6:50pm ET $34.79 159 $5,523.14 $5,495.68 +$36.05
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 5:15pm ET $32.86 167 $5,495.68
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:35pm ET $33.26 167 $5,562.58 $5,534.93 +$39.25
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 11:30pm ET $34.97 158 $5,534.93
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 5:35am ET $35.01 158 $5,541.26 $5,513.57 $-21.36
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:10am ET $35.86 154 $5,513.57
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $34.82 154 $5,353.67 $5,326.50 $-187.07
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $28.55 187 $5,326.50
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $28.60 187 $5,335.83 $5,309.17 $-17.33
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $31.36 169 $5,309.17
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $30.85 169 $5,222.83 $5,196.50 $-112.67
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:15pm ET $21.98 236 $5,196.50
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 1:25am ET $21.87 236 $5,170.50 $5,144.58 $-51.92
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 4:45am ET $23.03 223 $5,144.58
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 7:10am ET $22.61 223 $5,050.76 $5,025.27 $-119.31
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 12, 2025 10:50am ET $21.99 229 $5,025.27
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 2:50pm ET $22.55 229 $5,153.24 $5,127.80 +$102.53
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 2:40pm ET $23.71 216 $5,127.80
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 7:05pm ET $23.84 216 $5,155.91 $5,130.20 +$2.41
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:20am ET $20.81 247 $5,130.20
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 1:15pm ET $20.31 247 $5,006.94 $4,981.60 $-148.61
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 5:30pm ET $16.13 309 $4,981.60
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 7:30pm ET $15.78 309 $4,873.50 $4,848.86 $-132.73
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:30pm ET $16.46 295 $4,848.86
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 2:20am ET $16.42 295 $4,837.08 $4,812.87 $-36.00
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET $17.07 282 $4,812.87
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 6:10pm ET $17.85 282 $5,032.79 $5,008.17 +$195.31
(+4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:45pm ET $17.61 284 $5,008.17
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:35am ET $17.47 284 $4,968.36 $4,943.42 $-64.76
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:10pm ET $14.50 341 $4,943.42
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:10pm ET $14.93 341 $5,090.01 $5,064.93 +$121.51
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
9h held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET $13.46 376 $5,064.93
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:50pm ET $13.65 376 $5,136.43 $5,110.92 +$45.99
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $13.79 371 $5,110.92
🔴 SELL Dec 7, 2025 4:25pm ET $13.73 371 $5,088.69 $5,063.19 $-47.74
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET $14.13 358 $5,063.19
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:20pm ET $14.59 358 $5,228.02 $5,202.29 +$139.10
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 8:45am ET $12.17 427 $5,202.29
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:30am ET $12.05 427 $5,150.99 $5,125.11 $-77.18
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:25pm ET $11.74 437 $5,125.11
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 6:05am ET $11.93 437 $5,208.06 $5,182.22 +$57.11
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $13.01 398 $5,182.22
🔴 SELL Jan 1, 2026 6:45pm ET $13.54 398 $5,393.34 $5,366.90 +$184.67
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET $14.30 375 $5,366.90
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $14.50 375 $5,441.96 $5,414.94 +$48.04
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $12.51 433 $5,414.94
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:15pm ET $12.48 433 $5,401.95 $5,374.91 $-40.03
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $10.19 527 $5,374.91
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $9.94 527 $5,243.04 $5,216.50 $-158.41
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $8.61 606 $5,216.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET $8.38 606 $5,077.15 $5,051.41 $-165.08
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $9.11 554 $5,051.41
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.12 554 $5,056.96 $5,031.69 $-19.73
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET $8.85 569 $5,031.69
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $8.59 569 $4,887.76 $4,887.76 $-168.73
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET $8.63 566 $4,887.76
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:05pm ET $8.47 566 $4,797.14 $4,797.14 $-114.83
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:10am ET $9.02 532 $4,797.14
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $9.67 532 $5,142.83 $5,142.83 +$320.84
(+7.2%)
TREND_BREAK
8.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $8.95 575 $5,142.83
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 7:50pm ET $9.14 575 $5,252.01 $5,252.01 +$83.19
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $9.30 565 $5,252.01
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $9.21 565 $5,201.18 $5,201.18 $-76.96
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 4:20am ET $9.42 552 $5,201.18
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 6:35am ET $9.31 552 $5,140.44 $5,140.44 $-86.59
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET $9.73 528 $5,140.44
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $9.56 528 $5,050.63 $5,050.63 $-115.29
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET $9.77 517 $5,050.63
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $9.73 517 $5,029.95 $5,029.95 $-45.88
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 15, 2026 11:30pm ET $10.39 484 $5,029.95
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:35am ET $10.39 484 $5,029.95 $5,029.95 $-25.15
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $9.45 532 $5,029.95
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $9.51 532 $5,061.89 $5,061.89 +$6.71
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20am ET $9.26 547 $5,061.89
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 4:55am ET $9.24 547 $5,050.96 $5,050.96 $-36.21
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:25pm ET $9.23 547 $5,050.96
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:00am ET $9.45 547 $5,171.35 $5,171.35 +$94.84
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 5:50pm ET $9.12 567 $5,171.35
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10am ET $9.45 567 $5,358.47 $5,358.47 +$160.80
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
7.3h held
60 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 5:00pm ET $9.54 562 $5,358.47
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 6:40pm ET $9.37 562 $5,262.98 $5,262.98 $-122.04
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $6.86 767 $5,262.98
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:10pm ET $6.71 767 $5,145.63 $5,145.63 $-143.37
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:40pm ET $6.66 772 $5,145.63
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:05pm ET $6.71 772 $5,182.70 $5,182.70 +$11.25
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2026 3:30am ET $6.21 835 $5,182.70
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2026 7:15am ET $6.14 835 $5,127.61 $5,127.61 $-80.87
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,127.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,872.39
Total Return: -48.72%
Back to Trent Follower