Compendium › Trent Follower › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+2.66%
Last Year Return
$10,370.13
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,101.63
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:17:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
5.6/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.0/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 14.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,079
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,101.63
Current Value
$10,370.13
Period P&L
$268.49
Max Drawdown
-2.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-1.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.67%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$81,629.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$268.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$268.49
Gross Return
+2.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,101.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $295.84 34 $10,058.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 3:25pm ET $302.28 34 $10,277.35 $10,320.43 +$218.79
(+2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:45am ET $319.32 32 $10,218.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 2:10pm ET $319.20 32 $10,214.24 $10,316.43 $-4.00
(-0.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $339.16 30 $10,174.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $345.11 30 $10,353.30 $10,494.93 +$178.50
(+1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 32 $10,229.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $315.76 32 $10,104.32 $10,370.13 $-124.80
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,370.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$370.13
Total Return: +3.70%
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