Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
1.1/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,962
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,060.80
Current Value
$10,034.68
Period P&L
$-26.12
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+1.98%
Worst Trade
-2.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$163,950.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-26.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-26.12
Gross Return
-0.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,060.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:50am ET $46.83 214 $10,021.62
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:20pm ET $47.76 214 $10,219.57 $10,258.76 +$197.95
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:45am ET $44.24 231 $10,219.44
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 1:50pm ET $44.71 231 $10,328.01 $10,367.33 +$108.57
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $48.08 215 $10,336.13
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:00pm ET $48.13 215 $10,346.88 $10,378.08 +$10.75
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $50.63 204 $10,328.32
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $50.98 204 $10,398.90 $10,448.66 +$70.58
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $52.82 197 $10,405.54
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:20pm ET $52.41 197 $10,323.79 $10,366.90 $-81.75
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $56.33 184 $10,363.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.15 184 $10,330.68 $10,333.78 $-33.12
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $59.85 172 $10,293.34
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $58.14 172 $10,000.08 $10,040.52 $-293.26
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET $60.00 167 $10,020.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $59.97 167 $10,014.16 $10,034.68 $-5.84
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,034.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$34.68
Total Return: +0.35%
Back to Trent Follower