COIN Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 51 trades in period
+64.31%
Last Year Return
$13,865.62
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$8,438.52
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
22.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 22.6
30-Day Momentum
6
-4.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,006
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,438.52
Current Value
$13,865.62
Period P&L
$5,427.14
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
26 /
25
Best Trade
+16.21%
Worst Trade
-3.85%
Avg Trade Return
+1.07%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,349,965.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,427.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,427.14
Gross Return
+64.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+64.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,438.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.31 | 41 | $8,376.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 2:55pm ET | $207.81 | 41 | $8,520.21 | $8,582.22 |
+$143.71 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $210.11 | 40 | $8,404.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $210.11 | 40 | $8,404.52 | $8,582.46 |
+$0.24 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 2:35pm ET | $258.09 | 33 | $8,516.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $256.23 | 33 | $8,455.43 | $8,520.91 |
$-61.55 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $256.32 | 33 | $8,458.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 1:50pm ET | $263.60 | 33 | $8,698.80 | $8,761.15 |
+$240.24 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $253.95 | 34 | $8,634.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 2:00pm ET | $257.29 | 34 | $8,747.86 | $8,874.71 |
+$113.56 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $248.92 | 35 | $8,712.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $256.68 | 35 | $8,983.63 | $9,146.14 |
+$271.43 (+3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $265.00 | 34 | $9,010.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $305.66 | 34 | $10,392.44 | $10,528.58 |
+$1,382.44 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $316.39 | 33 | $10,440.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $367.68 | 33 | $12,133.53 | $12,221.40 |
+$1,692.83 (+16.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $363.03 | 33 | $11,979.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $374.97 | 33 | $12,374.01 | $12,615.42 |
+$394.02 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 9:45am ET | $363.74 | 34 | $12,366.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 10:50am ET | $383.60 | 34 | $13,042.40 | $13,290.83 |
+$675.41 (+5.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $428.80 | 30 | $12,864.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $424.60 | 30 | $12,738.06 | $13,164.89 |
$-125.94 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $385.66 | 34 | $13,112.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 2:35pm ET | $381.70 | 34 | $12,977.82 | $13,030.21 |
$-134.69 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $313.28 | 41 | $12,844.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 12:45pm ET | $311.45 | 41 | $12,769.45 | $12,955.18 |
$-75.03 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $321.71 | 40 | $12,868.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 1:10pm ET | $326.85 | 40 | $13,074.00 | $13,160.73 |
+$205.55 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.15 | 39 | $13,031.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 11:10am ET | $323.90 | 39 | $12,632.10 | $12,760.98 |
$-399.75 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $311.64 | 40 | $12,465.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:10pm ET | $320.26 | 40 | $12,810.40 | $13,105.78 |
+$344.80 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $325.85 | 40 | $13,034.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:45am ET | $318.48 | 40 | $12,739.00 | $12,810.78 |
$-295.00 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $332.92 | 38 | $12,650.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $347.17 | 38 | $13,192.27 | $13,352.28 |
+$541.50 (+4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $325.30 | 41 | $13,337.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $332.70 | 41 | $13,640.70 | $13,655.67 |
+$303.40 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $349.26 | 39 | $13,621.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 12:55pm ET | $344.79 | 39 | $13,446.81 | $13,481.34 |
$-174.33 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $399.87 | 33 | $13,195.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $386.42 | 33 | $12,751.70 | $13,037.33 |
$-444.01 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.28 | 37 | $12,738.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 1:20pm ET | $348.66 | 37 | $12,900.42 | $13,199.48 |
+$162.15 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $336.97 | 39 | $13,141.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:00pm ET | $366.61 | 39 | $14,297.60 | $14,355.25 |
+$1,155.77 (+8.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $347.16 | 41 | $14,233.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 1:00pm ET | $350.76 | 41 | $14,380.96 | $14,502.64 |
+$147.39 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $302.38 | 47 | $14,211.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $317.87 | 47 | $14,939.89 | $15,230.91 |
+$728.27 (+5.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $260.94 | 58 | $15,134.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $253.05 | 58 | $14,676.90 | $14,773.14 |
$-457.76 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $251.40 | 58 | $14,581.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $249.05 | 58 | $14,444.61 | $14,636.55 |
$-136.59 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $255.96 | 57 | $14,589.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $270.35 | 57 | $15,409.67 | $15,456.50 |
+$819.95 (+5.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $267.48 | 57 | $15,246.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 1:25pm ET | $268.40 | 57 | $15,298.52 | $15,508.94 |
+$52.44 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $276.33 | 56 | $15,474.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $268.76 | 56 | $15,050.45 | $15,084.90 |
$-424.03 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $251.17 | 60 | $15,070.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:05pm ET | $250.32 | 60 | $15,018.90 | $15,033.44 |
$-51.47 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $236.26 | 63 | $14,884.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $236.78 | 63 | $14,917.14 | $15,066.20 |
+$32.76 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $260.55 | 57 | $14,851.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $255.20 | 57 | $14,546.57 | $14,761.42 |
$-304.78 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.11 | 94 | $14,674.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.67 | 94 | $15,008.98 | $15,096.25 |
+$334.84 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.26 | 89 | $15,064.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $167.52 | 89 | $14,909.28 | $14,941.39 |
$-154.86 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.76 | 86 | $14,771.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $183.05 | 86 | $15,742.30 | $15,912.33 |
+$970.94 (+6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $180.29 | 88 | $15,865.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $182.44 | 88 | $16,054.72 | $16,101.97 |
+$189.64 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $185.64 | 86 | $15,965.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $183.17 | 86 | $15,752.62 | $15,889.55 |
$-212.42 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.25 | 77 | $15,727.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $196.39 | 77 | $15,122.03 | $15,284.33 |
$-605.22 (-3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.68 | 75 | $15,276.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $197.08 | 75 | $14,781.00 | $14,789.33 |
$-495.00 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:10pm ET | $204.31 | 72 | $14,710.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $198.75 | 72 | $14,310.00 | $14,389.01 |
$-400.32 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $189.54 | 75 | $14,215.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $184.40 | 75 | $13,830.00 | $14,003.50 |
$-385.51 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $167.38 | 83 | $13,892.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $172.80 | 83 | $14,342.81 | $14,453.36 |
+$449.86 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $177.05 | 81 | $14,341.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $174.71 | 81 | $14,151.91 | $14,264.22 |
$-189.14 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 77 | $14,240.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $178.42 | 77 | $13,738.34 | $13,762.18 |
$-502.04 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $172.95 | 79 | $13,663.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $171.76 | 79 | $13,569.04 | $13,668.17 |
$-94.01 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $190.62 | 71 | $13,534.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $188.85 | 71 | $13,408.00 | $13,542.15 |
$-126.02 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.16 | 66 | $13,540.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $209.50 | 66 | $13,827.00 | $13,828.59 |
+$286.44 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $207.08 | 66 | $13,667.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $205.11 | 66 | $13,537.26 | $13,698.57 |
$-130.02 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $187.36 | 73 | $13,677.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $185.33 | 73 | $13,529.09 | $13,550.38 |
$-148.19 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.40 | 67 | $13,360.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $204.11 | 67 | $13,675.37 | $13,865.62 |
+$315.24 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,865.62
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,865.62
Total Return:
+38.66%