Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:05:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,453
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
257 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,171.69
Current Value
$9,355.30
Period P&L
$-816.40
Max Drawdown
-3.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.90

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+0.50%
Worst Trade
-2.89%
Avg Trade Return
-1.04%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,400.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-816.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-816.40
Gross Return
-8.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 257 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,171.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:40am ET $90.34 112 $10,118.08
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $89.64 112 $10,039.68 $10,093.29 $-78.40
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $93.54 107 $10,008.78
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 1:10pm ET $92.29 107 $9,875.03 $9,959.54 $-133.75
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:50am ET $95.49 104 $9,930.96
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 2:50pm ET $95.97 104 $9,980.88 $10,009.46 +$49.92
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $89.87 111 $9,975.57
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 1:30pm ET $90.26 111 $10,018.31 $10,052.19 +$42.73
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $101.56 98 $9,952.88
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $99.63 98 $9,763.99 $9,863.30 $-188.90
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $104.70 94 $9,841.80
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $104.46 94 $9,819.24 $9,840.74 $-22.56
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $119.26 82 $9,779.32
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $115.81 82 $9,496.42 $9,557.84 $-282.90
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $131.96 72 $9,501.12
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET $129.15 72 $9,298.58 $9,355.30 $-202.54
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,355.30
Net Profit/Loss: $-644.70
Total Return: -6.45%
Back to Trent Follower