DKNG Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 29 trades in period
-23.35%
Last Year Return
$6,042.33
Current Value
21%
Win Rate
$7,883.47
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality
2.5/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 2.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,432
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,883.47
Current Value
$6,042.33
Period P&L
$-1,841.18
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.64
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
6 /
23
Best Trade
+2.11%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.91%
Avg Hold Time
4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$406,413.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,841.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,841.18
Gross Return
-23.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,883.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $35.68 | 220 | $7,849.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:40pm ET | $35.80 | 220 | $7,876.00 | $7,909.91 |
+$26.42 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.51 | 205 | $7,893.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $37.77 | 205 | $7,742.85 | $7,759.24 |
$-150.68 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 10:45am ET | $35.23 | 220 | $7,750.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 3:35pm ET | $35.62 | 220 | $7,835.30 | $7,843.94 |
+$84.70 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.33 | 210 | $7,838.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 1:35pm ET | $37.05 | 210 | $7,780.50 | $7,786.19 |
$-57.75 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $40.66 | 191 | $7,766.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 12:45pm ET | $40.31 | 191 | $7,699.21 | $7,719.34 |
$-66.85 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $41.95 | 184 | $7,717.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 3:00pm ET | $42.34 | 184 | $7,789.64 | $7,791.10 |
+$71.76 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $45.69 | 170 | $7,767.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 1:45pm ET | $45.40 | 170 | $7,718.00 | $7,741.80 |
$-49.30 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $48.61 | 159 | $7,728.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:15am ET | $46.73 | 159 | $7,430.07 | $7,442.88 |
$-298.92 (-3.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
42m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $36.37 | 204 | $7,419.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 12:05pm ET | $35.62 | 204 | $7,266.46 | $7,289.86 |
$-153.02 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.54 | 211 | $7,287.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.41 | 211 | $7,260.51 | $7,262.43 |
$-27.43 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.52 | 204 | $7,245.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 12:50pm ET | $35.16 | 204 | $7,172.64 | $7,190.01 |
$-72.42 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $34.56 | 208 | $7,188.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 3:50pm ET | $34.75 | 208 | $7,226.96 | $7,228.49 |
+$38.48 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.12 | 232 | $7,219.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 1:20pm ET | $30.80 | 232 | $7,145.60 | $7,154.25 |
$-74.24 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $29.12 | 245 | $7,134.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $28.26 | 245 | $6,923.70 | $6,943.55 |
$-210.70 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
18m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $31.19 | 222 | $6,924.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $30.96 | 222 | $6,872.01 | $6,891.38 |
$-52.17 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $31.56 | 218 | $6,880.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:30pm ET | $31.33 | 218 | $6,828.85 | $6,840.19 |
$-51.19 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.32 | 225 | $6,822.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:55pm ET | $30.15 | 225 | $6,782.63 | $6,800.82 |
$-39.38 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $30.32 | 224 | $6,791.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 1:55pm ET | $30.96 | 224 | $6,935.04 | $6,944.18 |
+$143.36 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.20 | 191 | $6,914.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:20am ET | $35.34 | 191 | $6,748.99 | $6,778.96 |
$-165.22 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:20am ET | $35.78 | 189 | $6,762.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:10pm ET | $34.90 | 189 | $6,596.10 | $6,612.64 |
$-166.32 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $36.17 | 182 | $6,582.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $35.91 | 182 | $6,535.62 | $6,565.32 |
$-47.32 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $35.70 | 183 | $6,533.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $35.66 | 183 | $6,525.78 | $6,558.00 |
$-7.32 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.00 | 234 | $6,553.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $27.31 | 234 | $6,389.37 | $6,394.20 |
$-163.80 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.60 | 240 | $6,384.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $26.75 | 240 | $6,418.80 | $6,429.00 |
+$34.80 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $22.48 | 286 | $6,427.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $22.24 | 286 | $6,359.24 | $6,360.39 |
$-68.61 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $26.30 | 241 | $6,338.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET | $26.14 | 241 | $6,298.54 | $6,320.63 |
$-39.76 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.24 | 250 | $6,310.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $24.21 | 250 | $6,052.50 | $6,063.13 |
$-257.50 (-4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.32 | 271 | $6,048.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $22.30 | 271 | $6,041.95 | $6,056.36 |
$-6.77 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.72 | 255 | $6,047.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.66 | 255 | $6,033.30 | $6,042.33 |
$-14.03 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,042.33
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,957.67
Total Return:
-39.58%