ETHUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 49 trades in period
+1.36%
Last Year Return
$9,422.84
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$8,754.10
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
4.1/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 3.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,282
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,754.10
Current Value
$9,422.84
Period P&L
$118.89
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
22 /
27
Best Trade
+15.74%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
4.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$924,911.06
Estimated Fees
$2,312.28
Gross P&L
$118.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,193.39
Gross Return
+1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.06%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,754.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 11:40pm ET | $1,888.25 | 5 | $8,754.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 4:50pm ET | $2,185.37 | 5 | $10,131.57 | $10,084.36 |
+$1,330.26 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 4:55pm ET | $2,186.47 | 5 | $10,084.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 11:55pm ET | $2,204.75 | 5 | $10,168.67 | $10,118.04 |
+$33.68 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 3:05am ET | $2,296.26 | 4 | $10,118.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 6:25am ET | $2,336.19 | 4 | $10,293.98 | $10,242.95 |
+$124.91 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 3:25am ET | $2,599.33 | 4 | $10,242.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 6:00am ET | $2,546.90 | 4 | $10,036.34 | $9,985.65 |
$-257.30 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 3:15pm ET | $2,687.39 | 4 | $9,985.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 6:50pm ET | $2,683.17 | 4 | $9,969.97 | $9,920.08 |
$-65.57 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2025 7:50pm ET | $2,499.56 | 4 | $9,920.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2025 9:05pm ET | $2,432.11 | 4 | $9,652.39 | $9,603.45 |
$-316.62 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $2,522.96 | 4 | $9,603.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 2:30pm ET | $2,481.00 | 4 | $9,443.74 | $9,396.12 |
$-207.34 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 7:30am ET | $2,778.59 | 3 | $9,396.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $2,721.04 | 3 | $9,201.51 | $9,155.01 |
$-241.11 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 4:15pm ET | $2,349.65 | 4 | $9,155.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 10:05pm ET | $2,399.64 | 4 | $9,349.79 | $9,303.53 |
+$148.52 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 11:00pm ET | $2,517.24 | 4 | $9,303.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 1:20am ET | $2,475.64 | 4 | $9,149.78 | $9,103.64 |
$-199.88 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 12:05pm ET | $2,537.37 | 4 | $9,103.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 7:05pm ET | $2,590.06 | 4 | $9,292.69 | $9,246.70 |
+$143.05 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $2,792.60 | 3 | $9,246.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 8:35pm ET | $2,759.90 | 3 | $9,138.42 | $9,092.46 |
$-154.24 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 5:35pm ET | $2,914.30 | 3 | $9,092.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 8:40pm ET | $2,927.20 | 3 | $9,132.71 | $9,087.14 |
$-5.32 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 9:50pm ET | $3,616.42 | 3 | $9,087.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 3:40am ET | $3,632.76 | 3 | $9,128.20 | $9,082.66 |
$-4.48 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $3,768.46 | 2 | $9,082.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 12:40pm ET | $3,676.01 | 2 | $8,859.84 | $8,814.99 |
$-267.68 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 9, 2025 1:05am ET | $4,168.48 | 2 | $8,814.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 9, 2025 7:35am ET | $4,191.91 | 2 | $8,864.53 | $8,820.33 |
+$5.35 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,440.30 | 2 | $8,820.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 6:10pm ET | $4,826.30 | 2 | $9,587.10 | $9,541.08 |
+$720.74 (+8.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
8.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 4:45am ET | $4,298.23 | 2 | $9,541.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 8:40am ET | $4,292.69 | 2 | $9,528.78 | $9,481.10 |
$-59.97 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $3,996.91 | 2 | $9,481.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 12, 2025 5:20pm ET | $4,129.51 | 2 | $9,795.65 | $9,747.45 |
+$266.35 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:15pm ET | $4,103.95 | 2 | $9,747.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 3:35pm ET | $4,089.39 | 2 | $9,712.87 | $9,664.22 |
$-83.23 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 10:55am ET | $4,023.38 | 2 | $9,664.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $3,979.06 | 2 | $9,557.76 | $9,509.71 |
$-154.51 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:30pm ET | $3,388.34 | 3 | $9,509.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 5:50pm ET | $3,446.39 | 3 | $9,672.63 | $9,624.68 |
+$114.97 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 9:25am ET | $3,553.38 | 3 | $9,624.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 9, 2025 12:35pm ET | $3,507.98 | 3 | $9,501.71 | $9,453.89 |
$-170.79 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 4:20pm ET | $2,996.30 | 3 | $9,453.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:00pm ET | $3,033.51 | 3 | $9,571.29 | $9,523.73 |
+$69.84 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:55pm ET | $2,940.13 | 3 | $9,523.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 4:40pm ET | $2,955.15 | 3 | $9,572.38 | $9,524.64 |
+$0.91 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $2,955.59 | 3 | $9,524.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:00pm ET | $3,010.23 | 3 | $9,700.73 | $9,652.66 |
+$128.02 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $3,092.74 | 3 | $9,652.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2025 4:20pm ET | $3,124.95 | 3 | $9,753.19 | $9,704.68 |
+$52.02 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET | $3,253.90 | 3 | $9,704.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:00pm ET | $3,348.80 | 3 | $9,987.72 | $9,938.48 |
+$233.81 (+2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 8:45am ET | $2,963.69 | 3 | $9,938.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $2,933.88 | 3 | $9,838.52 | $9,789.08 |
$-149.41 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 5:10pm ET | $3,320.46 | 3 | $9,789.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:50pm ET | $3,317.00 | 3 | $9,778.88 | $9,729.96 |
$-59.12 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $3,026.68 | 3 | $9,729.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 5:55pm ET | $3,011.30 | 3 | $9,680.51 | $9,631.99 |
$-97.97 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 4:45am ET | $2,313.86 | 4 | $9,631.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $2,352.12 | 4 | $9,791.25 | $9,742.70 |
+$110.71 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $2,292.01 | 4 | $9,742.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $2,229.13 | 4 | $9,475.41 | $9,427.36 |
$-315.33 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 8:40pm ET | $1,923.40 | 5 | $9,427.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:45am ET | $1,913.85 | 5 | $9,380.56 | $9,333.54 |
$-93.83 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $2,032.17 | 5 | $9,333.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2,052.57 | 5 | $9,427.23 | $9,380.33 |
+$46.79 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $2,106.86 | 4 | $9,380.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $2,078.31 | 4 | $9,253.19 | $9,206.61 |
$-173.72 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $2,126.60 | 4 | $9,206.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 4:00pm ET | $2,119.23 | 4 | $9,174.71 | $9,128.75 |
$-77.86 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 8:25pm ET | $1,917.02 | 5 | $9,128.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:50pm ET | $1,908.36 | 5 | $9,087.51 | $9,087.51 |
$-86.78 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $2,023.44 | 4 | $9,087.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $2,061.94 | 4 | $9,260.42 | $9,260.42 |
+$127.04 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $2,042.16 | 5 | $9,260.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 12:15am ET | $2,015.28 | 5 | $9,138.53 | $9,138.53 |
$-167.89 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $2,011.47 | 5 | $9,138.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $2,031.92 | 5 | $9,231.44 | $9,231.44 |
+$46.98 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET | $2,051.90 | 4 | $9,231.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 6:40am ET | $2,049.68 | 4 | $9,221.45 | $9,221.45 |
$-56.12 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $2,139.96 | 4 | $9,221.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2,159.93 | 4 | $9,307.50 | $9,307.50 |
+$39.73 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 8:30pm ET | $2,143.37 | 4 | $9,307.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:50pm ET | $2,104.88 | 4 | $9,140.36 | $9,140.36 |
$-213.26 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:15am ET | $2,197.35 | 4 | $9,140.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $2,153.24 | 4 | $8,956.87 | $8,956.87 |
$-228.73 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2026 11:30pm ET | $2,245.34 | 4 | $8,956.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:35am ET | $2,252.65 | 4 | $8,986.03 | $8,986.03 |
$-15.70 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET | $2,124.96 | 4 | $8,986.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $2,154.14 | 4 | $9,109.43 | $9,109.43 |
+$78.16 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 6:55pm ET | $2,196.55 | 4 | $9,109.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET | $2,231.06 | 4 | $9,252.55 | $9,252.55 |
+$97.21 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET | $2,325.00 | 4 | $9,252.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:15pm ET | $2,367.79 | 4 | $9,422.84 | $9,422.84 |
+$123.60 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,422.84
Net Profit/Loss:
$-577.16
Total Return:
-5.77%