Compendium › Trent Follower › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 7 trades in period

+1.00%
Last Year Return
$9,949.56
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$9,851.30
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,411
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,851.30
Current Value
$9,949.56
Period P&L
$98.26
Max Drawdown
-2.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+4.40%
Worst Trade
-1.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
7.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$140,641.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$98.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$98.26
Gross Return
+1.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,851.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $79.16 124 $9,815.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 3:40pm ET $80.39 124 $9,968.36 $10,003.82 +$152.52
(+1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:15am ET $81.98 122 $10,001.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 2:30pm ET $81.87 122 $9,988.14 $9,990.40 $-13.42
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 9:30am ET $84.08 118 $9,921.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 2:50pm ET $83.68 118 $9,874.24 $9,943.20 $-47.20
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $85.90 115 $9,878.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:05am ET $89.68 115 $10,313.09 $10,377.79 +$434.59
(+4.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET $97.15 106 $10,297.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:40pm ET $96.53 106 $10,232.18 $10,312.60 $-65.19
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $118.21 87 $10,284.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $116.05 87 $10,096.35 $10,124.68 $-187.92
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:20am ET $114.46 88 $10,072.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $112.47 88 $9,897.36 $9,949.56 $-175.12
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,949.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-50.44
Total Return: -0.50%
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