MU Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 56 trades in period
-7.36%
Last Year Return
$9,886.82
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$10,671.92
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
5.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 5.7
30-Day Momentum
22
+3.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.4
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,096
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,671.92
Current Value
$9,886.82
Period P&L
$-785.09
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
22 /
34
Best Trade
+6.61%
Worst Trade
-13.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
14h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,045,350.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-785.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-785.09
Gross Return
-7.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.36%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,671.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.78 | 124 | $10,636.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $85.13 | 124 | $10,556.12 | $10,591.93 |
$-79.98 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.15 | 113 | $10,525.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $92.33 | 113 | $10,433.29 | $10,499.27 |
$-92.66 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.20 | 109 | $10,485.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $96.30 | 109 | $10,496.70 | $10,510.17 |
+$10.90 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $97.54 | 107 | $10,436.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 1:35pm ET | $98.34 | 107 | $10,522.38 | $10,596.31 |
+$86.14 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $108.28 | 97 | $10,503.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 12:15pm ET | $105.69 | 97 | $10,251.93 | $10,345.08 |
$-251.23 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $120.03 | 86 | $10,322.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 2:15pm ET | $119.74 | 86 | $10,297.42 | $10,320.34 |
$-24.73 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $127.26 | 81 | $10,308.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $126.98 | 81 | $10,285.56 | $10,297.82 |
$-22.52 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $125.03 | 82 | $10,252.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 2:55pm ET | $124.74 | 82 | $10,228.68 | $10,274.04 |
$-23.78 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $113.15 | 90 | $10,183.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 12:40pm ET | $111.22 | 90 | $10,009.80 | $10,100.79 |
$-173.25 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $125.15 | 80 | $10,011.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 12:15pm ET | $121.78 | 80 | $9,742.40 | $9,831.59 |
$-269.20 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $120.01 | 81 | $9,720.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 12:40pm ET | $118.21 | 81 | $9,575.14 | $9,686.33 |
$-145.27 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $128.75 | 75 | $9,656.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $128.93 | 75 | $9,669.75 | $9,699.83 |
+$13.50 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $140.39 | 69 | $9,686.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 1:15pm ET | $140.24 | 69 | $9,676.22 | $9,689.47 |
$-10.36 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $165.85 | 58 | $9,619.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 2:10pm ET | $168.97 | 58 | $9,800.26 | $9,870.43 |
+$180.96 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $162.89 | 60 | $9,773.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 12:55pm ET | $162.45 | 60 | $9,746.70 | $9,843.73 |
$-26.71 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET | $172.46 | 57 | $9,830.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 1:45pm ET | $183.18 | 57 | $10,441.32 | $10,454.82 |
+$611.10 (+6.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $196.37 | 53 | $10,407.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET | $193.62 | 53 | $10,261.60 | $10,308.81 |
$-146.02 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $191.37 | 53 | $10,142.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $192.41 | 53 | $10,197.73 | $10,363.93 |
+$55.12 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $203.80 | 50 | $10,190.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:55pm ET | $202.12 | 50 | $10,106.00 | $10,279.93 |
$-84.00 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.55 | 50 | $10,227.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $218.06 | 50 | $10,903.00 | $10,955.59 |
+$675.67 (+6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $229.50 | 47 | $10,786.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 12:10pm ET | $226.33 | 47 | $10,637.51 | $10,806.65 |
$-148.95 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $235.27 | 45 | $10,587.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $234.40 | 45 | $10,548.00 | $10,767.50 |
$-39.15 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $238.08 | 45 | $10,713.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 1:35pm ET | $238.10 | 45 | $10,714.50 | $10,768.62 |
+$1.13 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $253.46 | 42 | $10,645.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $242.62 | 42 | $10,190.04 | $10,313.34 |
$-455.28 (-4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $249.46 | 41 | $10,227.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $242.44 | 41 | $9,940.04 | $10,025.52 |
$-287.82 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET | $235.25 | 42 | $9,880.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.18 | 42 | $8,575.56 | $8,720.58 |
$-1,304.94 (-13.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET | $209.36 | 41 | $8,583.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 12:50pm ET | $206.81 | 41 | $8,479.21 | $8,616.03 |
$-104.55 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.63 | 37 | $8,570.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $230.74 | 37 | $8,537.38 | $8,583.10 |
$-32.93 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.77 | 36 | $8,523.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:50pm ET | $236.90 | 36 | $8,528.40 | $8,587.78 |
+$4.68 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $261.65 | 32 | $8,372.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:50pm ET | $260.75 | 32 | $8,344.00 | $8,558.98 |
$-28.80 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $260.51 | 32 | $8,336.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:30pm ET | $252.39 | 32 | $8,076.35 | $8,299.01 |
$-259.97 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $286.90 | 28 | $8,033.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $285.98 | 28 | $8,007.44 | $8,273.25 |
$-25.76 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.59 | 27 | $8,169.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $314.84 | 27 | $8,500.68 | $8,604.00 |
+$330.75 (+4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $333.22 | 25 | $8,330.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $340.65 | 25 | $8,516.13 | $8,789.62 |
+$185.62 (+2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $337.59 | 26 | $8,777.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $344.39 | 26 | $8,954.01 | $8,966.29 |
+$176.67 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $343.47 | 26 | $8,930.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $342.94 | 26 | $8,916.31 | $8,952.38 |
$-13.91 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.07 | 23 | $8,580.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $365.51 | 23 | $8,406.73 | $8,778.50 |
$-173.88 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $407.92 | 21 | $8,566.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $398.04 | 21 | $8,358.84 | $8,571.02 |
$-207.48 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $404.86 | 21 | $8,501.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $411.87 | 21 | $8,649.27 | $8,718.32 |
+$147.29 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.52 | 19 | $8,502.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $435.90 | 19 | $8,282.10 | $8,497.54 |
$-220.78 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $439.05 | 19 | $8,341.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $437.23 | 19 | $8,307.36 | $8,462.95 |
$-34.58 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $386.26 | 21 | $8,111.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $373.54 | 21 | $7,844.33 | $8,195.79 |
$-267.16 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $417.84 | 19 | $7,938.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $423.03 | 19 | $8,037.57 | $8,294.40 |
+$98.61 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $428.93 | 19 | $8,149.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:25pm ET | $423.78 | 19 | $8,051.82 | $8,196.53 |
$-97.87 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $396.84 | 20 | $7,936.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $403.56 | 20 | $8,071.17 | $8,330.84 |
+$134.31 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.07 | 20 | $8,021.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $412.01 | 20 | $8,240.20 | $8,549.74 |
+$218.90 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.90 | 20 | $8,378.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $422.16 | 20 | $8,443.15 | $8,614.89 |
+$65.15 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.28 | 24 | $8,358.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $371.12 | 24 | $8,906.88 | $9,163.05 |
+$548.16 (+6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $376.67 | 24 | $9,040.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $377.93 | 24 | $9,070.32 | $9,193.17 |
+$30.12 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 22 | $9,112.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $405.87 | 22 | $8,929.14 | $9,010.24 |
$-182.93 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.00 | 20 | $8,720.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $452.61 | 20 | $9,052.30 | $9,342.54 |
+$332.30 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.55 | 20 | $9,291.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 20 | $9,644.70 | $9,696.24 |
+$353.70 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $497.40 | 19 | $9,450.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $496.64 | 19 | $9,436.07 | $9,681.71 |
$-14.53 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 18 | $9,493.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $515.80 | 18 | $9,284.40 | $9,472.91 |
$-208.80 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $532.02 | 17 | $9,044.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $530.81 | 17 | $9,023.77 | $9,452.34 |
$-20.57 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 15 | $9,140.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $638.34 | 15 | $9,575.03 | $9,886.82 |
+$434.48 (+4.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,886.82
Net Profit/Loss:
$-113.18
Total Return:
-1.13%