Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:39:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 26.6/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 24.4

30-Day Momentum

25
+3.1%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.6 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,501
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,999.29
Current Value
$12,078.44
Period P&L
$-920.84
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
16 / 19
Best Trade
+5.37%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
10.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$891,207.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-920.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-920.84
Gross Return
-7.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,999.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.80 96 $12,940.80
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 1:35pm ET $132.79 96 $12,747.36 $12,805.84 $-193.44
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 10:15am ET $147.59 86 $12,692.31
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 1:05pm ET $152.00 86 $13,072.00 $13,185.53 +$379.69
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:20am ET $178.09 74 $13,178.66
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 2:25pm ET $179.19 74 $13,259.69 $13,266.56 +$81.03
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $190.16 69 $13,121.04
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $188.99 69 $13,040.31 $13,185.83 $-80.73
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 10:20am ET $191.45 68 $13,018.60
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:35am ET $189.14 68 $12,861.52 $13,028.75 $-157.08
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:15am ET $197.77 65 $12,855.05
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 2:30pm ET $199.01 65 $12,935.84 $13,109.54 +$80.79
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:00am ET $208.75 62 $12,942.50
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $208.08 62 $12,900.96 $13,068.00 $-41.54
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:50am ET $209.43 62 $12,984.46
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 3:15pm ET $209.50 62 $12,988.70 $13,072.24 +$4.24
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:40am ET $211.21 61 $12,883.81
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:25pm ET $213.73 61 $13,037.53 $13,225.96 +$153.72
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:40am ET $219.60 60 $13,176.00
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $219.42 60 $13,165.20 $13,215.16 $-10.80
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $224.00 58 $12,992.00
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 12:45pm ET $221.47 58 $12,844.97 $13,068.13 $-147.03
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:50am ET $219.55 59 $12,953.45
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:40am ET $222.40 59 $13,121.61 $13,236.29 +$168.16
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:50am ET $224.49 58 $13,020.13
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $221.26 58 $12,832.79 $13,048.95 $-187.34
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $241.38 54 $13,034.52
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 1:35pm ET $246.50 54 $13,311.00 $13,325.43 +$276.48
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $229.70 58 $13,322.31
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:30pm ET $242.04 58 $14,038.32 $14,041.44 +$716.01
(+5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $202.42 69 $13,966.98
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $197.16 69 $13,604.04 $13,678.50 $-362.94
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:50am ET $205.89 66 $13,588.74
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 12:55pm ET $202.88 66 $13,390.08 $13,479.84 $-198.66
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET $203.59 66 $13,436.93
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:45pm ET $200.40 66 $13,226.40 $13,269.31 $-210.53
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET $202.81 65 $13,182.65
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $200.30 65 $13,019.50 $13,106.16 $-163.15
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $177.91 73 $12,987.43
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $175.55 73 $12,814.79 $12,933.51 $-172.65
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $192.80 67 $12,917.27
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $191.78 67 $12,849.26 $12,865.51 $-68.00
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET $183.22 70 $12,825.40
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $183.65 70 $12,855.15 $12,895.26 +$29.75
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $172.87 74 $12,792.38
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $168.23 74 $12,448.65 $12,551.53 $-343.73
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $178.87 70 $12,520.90
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $181.71 70 $12,719.35 $12,749.98 +$198.45
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $176.01 72 $12,672.72
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $179.18 72 $12,900.96 $12,978.22 +$228.24
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET $193.16 67 $12,942.05
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $189.04 67 $12,665.35 $12,701.51 $-276.71
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:20pm ET $222.50 57 $12,682.50
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $224.99 57 $12,824.43 $12,843.44 +$141.93
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $223.32 57 $12,729.18
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $217.16 57 $12,378.12 $12,492.38 $-351.06
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $208.51 59 $12,302.38
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $201.75 59 $11,903.25 $12,093.25 $-399.13
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.40 57 $11,992.80
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $203.71 57 $11,611.47 $11,711.92 $-381.33
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 52 $11,619.14
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $212.13 52 $11,031.02 $11,123.80 $-588.12
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
40m held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $174.68 63 $11,004.84
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $181.66 63 $11,444.58 $11,563.54 +$439.74
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $185.85 62 $11,522.70
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $187.59 62 $11,630.42 $11,671.26 +$107.72
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
34 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $216.00 54 $11,664.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $216.67 54 $11,700.18 $11,707.44 +$36.18
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
35 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $231.95 50 $11,597.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $239.37 50 $11,968.50 $12,078.44 +$371.00
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,078.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,078.44
Total Return: +20.78%
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