RBLX Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 37 trades in period
-7.73%
Last Year Return
$7,841.31
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$8,498.16
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality
3.7/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 3.5
30-Day Momentum
5
-5.7%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8
Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,853
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,498.16
Current Value
$7,841.31
Period P&L
$-656.86
Max Drawdown
-22.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
15 /
22
Best Trade
+7.62%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$605,203.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-656.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-656.86
Gross Return
-7.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,498.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:55am ET | $85.40 | 99 | $8,454.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 1:50pm ET | $85.04 | 99 | $8,418.47 | $8,462.01 |
$-36.14 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.47 | 95 | $8,404.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $89.10 | 95 | $8,464.50 | $8,521.86 |
+$59.85 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $100.57 | 84 | $8,447.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 3:10pm ET | $100.22 | 84 | $8,418.48 | $8,492.46 |
$-29.40 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 10:45am ET | $116.78 | 72 | $8,408.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $119.09 | 72 | $8,574.48 | $8,658.78 |
+$166.32 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $119.66 | 72 | $8,615.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $118.63 | 72 | $8,541.00 | $8,584.51 |
$-74.28 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $122.69 | 69 | $8,465.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET | $124.05 | 69 | $8,559.45 | $8,678.35 |
+$93.84 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $130.18 | 66 | $8,591.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 12:55pm ET | $129.25 | 66 | $8,530.50 | $8,617.30 |
$-61.05 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 11:30am ET | $132.59 | 64 | $8,485.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $132.91 | 64 | $8,506.24 | $8,637.78 |
+$20.48 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $118.47 | 72 | $8,529.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 2:40pm ET | $118.50 | 72 | $8,532.00 | $8,640.14 |
+$2.37 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $127.50 | 67 | $8,542.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:10pm ET | $126.88 | 67 | $8,500.63 | $8,598.27 |
$-41.88 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $131.69 | 65 | $8,559.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 2:30pm ET | $132.52 | 65 | $8,613.48 | $8,651.89 |
+$53.62 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $132.80 | 65 | $8,632.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 12:50pm ET | $130.82 | 65 | $8,503.30 | $8,523.19 |
$-128.70 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $139.35 | 61 | $8,500.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 12:55pm ET | $136.20 | 61 | $8,308.20 | $8,331.35 |
$-191.85 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $137.40 | 60 | $8,243.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $134.96 | 60 | $8,097.60 | $8,185.25 |
$-146.10 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $139.70 | 58 | $8,102.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $139.14 | 58 | $8,069.91 | $8,152.56 |
$-32.69 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $131.71 | 61 | $8,034.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 1:50pm ET | $134.08 | 61 | $8,178.88 | $8,297.13 |
+$144.57 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $106.08 | 78 | $8,274.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET | $103.97 | 78 | $8,109.27 | $8,132.16 |
$-164.97 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:45am ET | $93.59 | 86 | $8,048.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET | $93.88 | 86 | $8,073.68 | $8,157.10 |
+$24.94 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.70 | 107 | $8,099.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $75.07 | 107 | $8,032.49 | $8,089.96 |
$-67.14 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $86.01 | 94 | $8,084.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $87.16 | 94 | $8,193.04 | $8,198.53 |
+$108.57 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $75.31 | 108 | $8,132.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $74.85 | 108 | $8,083.80 | $8,149.39 |
$-49.14 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.68 | 118 | $8,104.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $68.14 | 118 | $8,039.93 | $8,085.08 |
$-64.31 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.75 | 126 | $8,032.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $61.19 | 126 | $7,710.57 | $7,763.15 |
$-321.93 (-4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
24m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $72.38 | 107 | $7,744.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $73.42 | 107 | $7,855.94 | $7,874.96 |
+$111.81 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $65.31 | 120 | $7,837.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $64.78 | 120 | $7,773.00 | $7,810.76 |
$-64.20 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $64.22 | 121 | $7,770.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:55am ET | $66.54 | 121 | $8,051.34 | $8,091.48 |
+$280.72 (+3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $70.76 | 114 | $8,066.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.72 | 114 | $7,948.08 | $7,972.92 |
$-118.56 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $58.41 | 136 | $7,943.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $57.98 | 136 | $7,885.28 | $7,914.44 |
$-58.48 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.27 | 138 | $7,903.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $55.93 | 138 | $7,718.34 | $7,729.52 |
$-184.92 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.89 | 143 | $7,706.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $57.99 | 143 | $8,293.28 | $8,316.53 |
+$587.01 (+7.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.65 | 139 | $8,292.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $57.56 | 139 | $8,000.15 | $8,024.63 |
$-291.90 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $57.25 | 140 | $8,015.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $58.37 | 140 | $8,171.80 | $8,180.98 |
+$156.35 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.61 | 137 | $8,166.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $59.80 | 137 | $8,192.60 | $8,207.01 |
+$26.03 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $62.63 | 131 | $8,204.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $61.07 | 131 | $8,000.17 | $8,002.65 |
$-204.36 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.85 | 125 | $7,981.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $62.27 | 125 | $7,783.75 | $7,805.15 |
$-197.50 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.58 | 135 | $7,773.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $57.22 | 135 | $7,725.37 | $7,756.55 |
$-48.60 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.42 | 163 | $7,729.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.94 | 163 | $7,814.22 | $7,841.31 |
+$84.76 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,841.31
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,158.69
Total Return:
-21.59%