TSLA Trent Follower's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 37 trades in period
+5.26%
Last Year Return
$13,736.10
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$13,049.17
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
30.6/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 28.9
30-Day Momentum
0
-3.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
41,145
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,049.17
Current Value
$13,736.10
Period P&L
$686.94
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
15 /
22
Best Trade
+6.63%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
9.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,058,471.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$686.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$686.94
Gross Return
+5.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.26%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $13,049.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $284.57 | 45 | $12,805.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:10pm ET | $287.32 | 45 | $12,929.40 | $13,172.88 |
+$123.70 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $315.84 | 41 | $12,949.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 2:00pm ET | $318.17 | 41 | $13,044.97 | $13,268.41 |
+$95.53 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 2:10pm ET | $335.47 | 39 | $13,083.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 3:35pm ET | $345.97 | 39 | $13,492.79 | $13,677.87 |
+$409.46 (+3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.56 | 38 | $13,397.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 2:40pm ET | $346.68 | 38 | $13,173.84 | $13,454.25 |
$-223.62 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.26 | 38 | $13,385.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:00pm ET | $359.05 | 38 | $13,643.90 | $13,712.27 |
+$258.02 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 11:05am ET | $304.00 | 45 | $13,679.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 2:20pm ET | $300.32 | 45 | $13,514.44 | $13,546.93 |
$-165.34 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 3:40pm ET | $308.03 | 43 | $13,245.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $328.45 | 43 | $14,123.35 | $14,424.96 |
+$878.03 (+6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 12:55pm ET | $329.69 | 43 | $14,176.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 2:35pm ET | $323.92 | 43 | $13,928.35 | $14,176.44 |
$-248.52 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $332.56 | 42 | $13,967.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 2:15pm ET | $351.55 | 42 | $14,765.09 | $14,974.22 |
+$797.78 (+5.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 10:20am ET | $313.03 | 47 | $14,712.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:30pm ET | $313.82 | 47 | $14,749.74 | $15,011.56 |
+$37.35 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $307.46 | 48 | $14,758.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $303.08 | 48 | $14,547.84 | $14,801.32 |
$-210.24 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 11:20am ET | $317.92 | 46 | $14,624.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 1:50pm ET | $316.72 | 46 | $14,569.12 | $14,746.35 |
$-54.97 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 9:45am ET | $329.65 | 44 | $14,504.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 12:55pm ET | $329.65 | 44 | $14,504.66 | $14,746.64 |
+$0.28 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $332.24 | 44 | $14,618.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $337.50 | 44 | $14,849.88 | $14,977.95 |
+$231.32 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:55am ET | $341.27 | 43 | $14,674.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 1:55pm ET | $339.29 | 43 | $14,589.38 | $14,892.72 |
$-85.23 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $349.41 | 42 | $14,675.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 2:50pm ET | $348.30 | 42 | $14,628.60 | $14,846.10 |
$-46.62 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $376.98 | 39 | $14,702.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 3:35pm ET | $392.40 | 39 | $15,303.60 | $15,447.48 |
+$601.38 (+4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $438.58 | 35 | $15,350.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:35pm ET | $436.53 | 35 | $15,278.38 | $15,375.69 |
$-71.79 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $449.22 | 34 | $15,273.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $440.76 | 34 | $14,985.84 | $15,088.05 |
$-287.64 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:55am ET | $458.68 | 32 | $14,677.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET | $454.74 | 32 | $14,551.68 | $14,961.97 |
$-126.08 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $445.47 | 33 | $14,700.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $447.67 | 33 | $14,773.02 | $15,034.48 |
+$72.51 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 12:55pm ET | $445.03 | 33 | $14,686.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $443.40 | 33 | $14,632.20 | $14,980.59 |
$-53.88 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:15am ET | $453.53 | 33 | $14,966.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 2:50pm ET | $455.64 | 33 | $15,036.12 | $15,050.39 |
+$69.80 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $468.05 | 32 | $14,977.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 1:30pm ET | $468.00 | 32 | $14,975.99 | $15,048.72 |
$-1.67 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $419.17 | 35 | $14,670.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $411.73 | 35 | $14,410.38 | $14,788.14 |
$-260.58 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $411.79 | 35 | $14,412.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 2:30pm ET | $418.23 | 35 | $14,638.05 | $15,013.55 |
+$225.41 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $441.40 | 34 | $15,007.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET | $447.38 | 34 | $15,210.87 | $15,216.83 |
+$203.27 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:50am ET | $461.87 | 32 | $14,779.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $448.08 | 32 | $14,338.40 | $14,775.24 |
$-441.59 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:55am ET | $478.59 | 30 | $14,357.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:25pm ET | $475.70 | 30 | $14,271.00 | $14,688.54 |
$-86.70 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $489.13 | 30 | $14,673.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:00pm ET | $486.09 | 30 | $14,582.70 | $14,597.34 |
$-91.20 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $497.79 | 29 | $14,435.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 2:25pm ET | $493.08 | 29 | $14,299.32 | $14,460.80 |
$-136.53 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $455.43 | 31 | $14,118.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $454.71 | 31 | $14,096.13 | $14,438.53 |
$-22.27 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $436.35 | 33 | $14,399.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $432.76 | 33 | $14,281.08 | $14,320.06 |
$-118.47 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $407.35 | 35 | $14,257.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $404.94 | 35 | $14,172.90 | $14,235.71 |
$-84.35 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.84 | 39 | $14,189.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $346.08 | 39 | $13,496.93 | $13,542.88 |
$-692.83 (-4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $377.88 | 35 | $13,225.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $386.14 | 35 | $13,514.90 | $13,831.98 |
+$289.10 (+2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
23h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $405.01 | 34 | $13,770.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $402.19 | 34 | $13,674.46 | $13,736.10 |
$-95.88 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,736.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,736.10
Total Return:
+37.36%