Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:31:32

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
4.7/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,958
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,913.37
Current Value
$10,269.80
Period P&L
$356.44
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+4.21%
Worst Trade
-1.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
5.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,426.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$356.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$356.44
Gross Return
+3.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,913.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET $322.51 30 $9,675.15
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 2:35pm ET $322.88 30 $9,686.40 $9,924.61 +$11.25
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET $262.78 37 $9,722.80
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $259.83 37 $9,613.71 $9,815.52 $-109.09
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $297.79 32 $9,529.28
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 2:30pm ET $306.91 32 $9,821.12 $10,107.36 +$291.84
(+3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 9:30am ET $331.34 30 $9,940.05
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $345.28 30 $10,358.25 $10,525.56 +$418.20
(+4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:40am ET $367.14 28 $10,279.92
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $362.48 28 $10,149.37 $10,395.01 $-130.55
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET $336.40 30 $10,092.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:40pm ET $339.43 30 $10,182.75 $10,485.76 +$90.75
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:45am ET $292.36 35 $10,232.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $292.99 35 $10,254.65 $10,507.81 +$22.05
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $292.44 35 $10,235.40
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $286.90 35 $10,041.50 $10,313.91 $-193.90
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 33 $10,157.07
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $308.82 33 $10,191.06 $10,347.90 +$33.99
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 29 $10,262.81
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $350.96 29 $10,177.84 $10,262.93 $-84.97
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $396.33 25 $9,908.13
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $396.60 25 $9,915.00 $10,269.80 +$6.87
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,269.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$269.80
Total Return: +2.70%
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