Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,782
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,216.48
Current Value
$5,358.47
Period P&L
$-188.07
Max Drawdown
-51.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+7.21%
Worst Trade
-2.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$152,424.36
Estimated Fees
$381.06
Gross P&L
$-188.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-569.13
Gross Return
-3.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.91%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,216.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $8.61 606 $5,216.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET $8.38 606 $5,077.15 $5,051.41 $-165.08
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $9.11 554 $5,051.41
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.12 554 $5,056.96 $5,031.69 $-19.73
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET $8.85 569 $5,031.69
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $8.59 569 $4,887.76 $4,887.76 $-168.73
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET $8.63 566 $4,887.76
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:05pm ET $8.47 566 $4,797.14 $4,797.14 $-114.83
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:10am ET $9.02 532 $4,797.14
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $9.67 532 $5,142.83 $5,142.83 +$320.84
(+7.2%)
TREND_BREAK
8.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $8.95 575 $5,142.83
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 7:50pm ET $9.14 575 $5,252.01 $5,252.01 +$83.19
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $9.30 565 $5,252.01
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $9.21 565 $5,201.18 $5,201.18 $-76.96
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 4:20am ET $9.42 552 $5,201.18
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 6:35am ET $9.31 552 $5,140.44 $5,140.44 $-86.59
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET $9.73 528 $5,140.44
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $9.56 528 $5,050.63 $5,050.63 $-115.29
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET $9.77 517 $5,050.63
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $9.73 517 $5,029.95 $5,029.95 $-45.88
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 15, 2026 11:30pm ET $10.39 484 $5,029.95
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:35am ET $10.39 484 $5,029.95 $5,029.95 $-25.15
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $9.45 532 $5,029.95
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $9.51 532 $5,061.89 $5,061.89 +$6.71
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20am ET $9.26 547 $5,061.89
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 4:55am ET $9.24 547 $5,050.96 $5,050.96 $-36.21
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:25pm ET $9.23 547 $5,050.96
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:00am ET $9.45 547 $5,171.35 $5,171.35 +$94.84
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 5:50pm ET $9.12 567 $5,171.35
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10am ET $9.45 567 $5,358.47 $5,358.47 +$160.80
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
7.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,358.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,641.53
Total Return: -46.42%
Back to Trent Follower