Compendium › Trent Follower › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 6 trades in period

-5.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,042.33
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$6,394.16
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 2.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,822
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,394.16
Current Value
$6,042.33
Period P&L
$-351.87
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.62

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+0.55%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.93%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$74,760.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-351.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-351.87
Gross Return
-5.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,394.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 240 $6,384.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $26.75 240 $6,418.80 $6,429.00 +$34.80
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $22.48 286 $6,427.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $22.24 286 $6,359.24 $6,360.39 $-68.61
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET $26.30 241 $6,338.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.14 241 $6,298.54 $6,320.63 $-39.76
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.24 250 $6,310.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $24.21 250 $6,052.50 $6,063.13 $-257.50
(-4.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 271 $6,048.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $22.30 271 $6,041.95 $6,056.36 $-6.77
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 255 $6,047.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.66 255 $6,033.30 $6,042.33 $-14.03
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,042.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,957.67
Total Return: -39.58%
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