Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:41:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.7/10
Raw Quality 1.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 1.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$1,722.38
Current Value
$1,728.22
Period P&L
$-147.62
Max Drawdown
-84.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.55

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+1.84%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$21,465.12
Estimated Fees
$53.66
Gross P&L
$-147.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-201.28
Gross Return
-8.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.69%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $1,722.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $0.0944 19,313 $1,822.18
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.0939 19,313 $1,813.05 $1,813.05 $-18.22
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:00am ET $0.0977 18,562 $1,813.05
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $0.0955 18,562 $1,773.21 $1,773.21 $-48.80
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 4:20am ET $0.1058 16,766 $1,773.21
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:05am ET $0.1077 16,766 $1,805.84 $1,805.84 +$23.68
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $0.1069 16,898 $1,805.84
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:35pm ET $0.1055 16,898 $1,783.15 $1,783.15 $-31.66
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY May 3, 2026 10:00pm ET $0.1126 15,840 $1,783.15
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:25am ET $0.1125 15,840 $1,782.11 $1,782.11 $-9.95
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:35am ET $0.0906 19,671 $1,782.11
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $0.0879 19,671 $1,728.22 $1,728.22 $-62.67
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,728.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,271.78
Total Return: -82.72%
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