Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:10:03

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.3/10
Raw Quality 2.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,412.13
Current Value
$3,415.73
Period P&L
$-355.40
Max Drawdown
-63.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+2.08%
Worst Trade
-2.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$71,032.18
Estimated Fees
$177.58
Gross P&L
$-355.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-532.98
Gross Return
-10.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.62%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,412.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $8.91 403 $3,593.56
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $9.10 403 $3,668.35 $3,668.35 +$56.64
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:10am ET $9.18 400 $3,668.35
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 5:10am ET $9.01 400 $3,604.02 $3,604.02 $-82.51
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET $9.04 399 $3,604.02
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:25pm ET $9.22 399 $3,678.43 $3,678.43 +$56.20
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 6:25pm ET $9.26 397 $3,678.43
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:05pm ET $9.19 397 $3,650.52 $3,650.52 $-46.23
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
5 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 5:45am ET $9.65 378 $3,650.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 6:05am ET $9.37 378 $3,545.39 $3,545.39 $-123.12
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
6 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $10.41 341 $3,545.39
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 4:55pm ET $10.30 341 $3,507.35 $3,507.35 $-55.67
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $10.71 328 $3,507.35
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.65 328 $3,489.44 $3,489.44 $-35.40
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 4:45pm ET $9.66 361 $3,489.44
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 7:45pm ET $9.55 361 $3,449.94 $3,449.94 $-56.84
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $7.92 435 $3,449.94
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:25pm ET $7.85 435 $3,418.00 $3,418.00 $-49.11
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $8.12 421 $3,418.00
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:30pm ET $8.11 421 $3,415.73 $3,415.73 $-19.36
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,415.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,584.27
Total Return: -65.84%
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