Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-6.1%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,860
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,395.70
Current Value
$8,717.21
Period P&L
$-1,678.49
Max Drawdown
-44.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
5 / 14
Best Trade
+9.61%
Worst Trade
-5.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$360,891.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,678.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,678.49
Gross Return
-16.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,395.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $42.59 244 $10,391.96
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $44.37 244 $10,826.30 $10,830.04 +$434.34
(+4.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $44.95 240 $10,788.00
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET $42.59 240 $10,221.60 $10,263.64 $-566.40
(-5.3%)
TREND_BREAK
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:20am ET $46.98 218 $10,241.64
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $46.00 218 $10,027.26 $10,049.26 $-214.38
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $48.49 207 $10,037.43
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:50am ET $48.93 207 $10,128.51 $10,140.34 +$91.08
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET $53.19 190 $10,106.10
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:45am ET $50.99 190 $9,688.10 $9,722.34 $-418.00
(-4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET $53.11 183 $9,719.13
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $51.34 183 $9,395.24 $9,398.45 $-323.89
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.49 175 $9,359.88
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.60 175 $8,855.00 $8,893.57 $-504.88
(-5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $51.94 171 $8,882.42
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $56.94 171 $9,735.89 $9,747.03 +$853.46
(+9.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $52.35 186 $9,737.10
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $52.72 186 $9,805.92 $9,815.85 +$68.82
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET $57.14 171 $9,770.91
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $56.19 171 $9,607.91 $9,652.85 $-163.00
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $54.62 176 $9,612.42
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $53.96 176 $9,496.08 $9,536.51 $-116.34
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $53.57 178 $9,535.46
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $53.53 178 $9,528.34 $9,529.39 $-7.12
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $49.88 191 $9,527.08
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET $48.57 191 $9,276.87 $9,279.18 $-250.21
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.99 178 $9,254.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $51.68 178 $9,199.04 $9,224.00 $-55.18
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $54.63 168 $9,178.68
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.89 168 $9,053.52 $9,098.84 $-125.16
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 163 $9,046.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $54.48 163 $8,880.24 $8,932.58 $-166.26
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $56.15 159 $8,928.25
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $54.33 159 $8,638.47 $8,642.80 $-289.78
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $46.98 183 $8,597.34
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $46.70 183 $8,546.10 $8,591.56 $-51.24
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
19 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.58 184 $8,570.72
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.26 184 $8,696.37 $8,717.21 +$125.65
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,717.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,282.79
Total Return: -12.83%
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