Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:31:19

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 13.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,141.69
Current Value
$10,703.50
Period P&L
$1,561.84
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
1.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+7.78%
Worst Trade
-0.30%
Avg Trade Return
+2.71%
Avg Hold Time
21.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$116,130.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,561.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,561.84
Gross Return
+17.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,141.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $151.53 60 $9,091.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $156.53 60 $9,391.80 $9,441.66 +$300.00
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $167.74 56 $9,393.44
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $171.79 56 $9,620.52 $9,668.74 +$227.08
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
21h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $175.35 55 $9,644.52
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $174.83 55 $9,615.66 $9,639.87 $-28.87
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $191.08 50 $9,554.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:55pm ET $194.12 50 $9,706.00 $9,791.87 +$152.00
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:55am ET $230.50 42 $9,681.00
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $233.82 42 $9,820.44 $9,931.31 +$139.44
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
6 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $268.10 37 $9,919.70
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $288.97 37 $10,691.89 $10,703.50 +$772.19
(+7.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,703.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$703.50
Total Return: +7.03%
Back to Trent Follower