Compendium › Trent Follower › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 6 trades in period

-12.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,781.61
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$3,924.84
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:46:21

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality 2.1/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,734
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,924.84
Current Value
$3,781.61
Period P&L
$-485.49
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+0.83%
Worst Trade
-2.75%
Avg Trade Return
-1.52%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$47,856.11
Estimated Fees
$119.64
Gross P&L
$-485.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-605.13
Gross Return
-12.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.42%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,924.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:15am ET $0.00000619 670,025,704 $4,147.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:35am ET $0.00000602 670,025,704 $4,033.55 $4,033.55 $-134.36
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $0.00000599 673,380,634 $4,033.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $0.00000604 673,380,634 $4,067.22 $4,067.22 +$13.42
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 8:25pm ET $0.00000608 668,950,658 $4,067.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 5, 2026 11:25pm ET $0.00000601 668,950,658 $4,020.39 $4,020.39 $-67.05
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:20am ET $0.00000644 624,284,161 $4,020.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $0.00000635 624,284,161 $3,964.20 $3,964.20 $-76.15
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 5:55am ET $0.00000645 614,604,651 $3,964.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:05am ET $0.00000631 614,604,651 $3,878.16 $3,878.16 $-105.65
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $0.00000482 804,597,510 $3,878.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:10pm ET $0.00000470 804,597,510 $3,781.61 $3,781.61 $-115.70
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,781.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,218.39
Total Return: -62.18%
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