SOXL Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 31 trades in period
+73.84%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,361.46
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$6,535.72
Period Start
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
16.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 16.8
30-Day Momentum
14
-7.7%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,535.72
Current Value
$11,361.46
Period P&L
$4,825.74
Max Drawdown
-58.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
20 /
11
Best Trade
+18.05%
Worst Trade
-7.86%
Avg Trade Return
+2.00%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$627,971.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,825.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,825.74
Gross Return
+73.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+73.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,535.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $54.76 | 119 | $6,516.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.80 | 119 | $6,402.20 | $6,441.71 |
$-114.16 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.71 | 115 | $6,406.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $53.00 | 115 | $6,095.00 | $6,130.06 |
$-311.65 (-4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.83 | 107 | $6,080.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.88 | 107 | $6,086.16 | $6,135.41 |
+$5.35 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 143 | $6,123.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.97 | 143 | $7,146.42 | $7,157.86 |
+$1,022.45 (+16.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.63 | 131 | $7,156.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.88 | 131 | $7,058.27 | $7,059.60 |
$-98.26 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $56.46 | 125 | $7,057.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 125 | $8,331.07 | $8,333.17 |
+$1,273.57 (+18.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $69.49 | 119 | $8,269.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $76.46 | 119 | $9,098.74 | $9,162.60 |
+$829.43 (+10.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.04 | 110 | $9,134.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $84.22 | 110 | $9,264.75 | $9,292.95 |
+$130.35 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.11 | 107 | $9,213.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $87.57 | 107 | $9,369.99 | $9,449.26 |
+$156.31 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.63 | 97 | $9,373.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $93.29 | 97 | $9,049.14 | $9,125.29 |
$-323.97 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.94 | 88 | $9,058.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $103.86 | 88 | $9,139.68 | $9,206.25 |
+$80.96 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.33 | 72 | $9,095.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $127.97 | 72 | $9,213.84 | $9,324.33 |
+$118.08 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $110.98 | 84 | $9,322.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $113.97 | 84 | $9,573.11 | $9,575.12 |
+$250.79 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $124.81 | 76 | $9,485.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $125.35 | 76 | $9,526.32 | $9,615.92 |
+$40.80 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 70 | $9,493.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $145.13 | 70 | $10,158.75 | $10,281.42 |
+$665.50 (+7.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.00 | 63 | $10,206.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.55 | 63 | $11,752.65 | $11,828.07 |
+$1,546.65 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:35pm ET | $164.27 | 72 | $11,827.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $184.53 | 72 | $13,286.16 | $13,286.79 |
+$1,458.72 (+12.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $152.68 | 87 | $13,283.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.38 | 87 | $12,300.06 | $12,303.69 |
$-983.10 (-7.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
17.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.08 | 75 | $12,156.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $170.68 | 75 | $12,801.00 | $12,948.69 |
+$645.00 (+5.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $187.94 | 68 | $12,779.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $192.36 | 68 | $13,080.48 | $13,249.25 |
+$300.56 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.90 | 56 | $13,210.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $217.37 | 56 | $12,172.72 | $12,211.57 |
$-1,037.68 (-7.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $224.41 | 54 | $12,118.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $226.62 | 54 | $12,237.48 | $12,330.69 |
+$119.12 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $228.76 | 53 | $12,124.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $228.95 | 53 | $12,134.09 | $12,340.63 |
+$9.94 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.78 | 44 | $12,222.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $259.11 | 44 | $11,400.84 | $11,519.15 |
$-821.48 (-6.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $264.09 | 43 | $11,355.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $263.29 | 43 | $11,321.47 | $11,484.75 |
$-34.40 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.74 | 54 | $11,325.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $216.37 | 54 | $11,683.71 | $11,842.50 |
+$357.75 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $193.18 | 61 | $11,783.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $190.67 | 61 | $11,630.87 | $11,689.39 |
$-153.11 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $196.68 | 59 | $11,604.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $196.84 | 59 | $11,613.56 | $11,698.83 |
+$9.44 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $239.59 | 48 | $11,500.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $236.13 | 48 | $11,334.48 | $11,532.99 |
$-165.84 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $249.89 | 46 | $11,494.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $238.74 | 46 | $10,981.81 | $11,019.86 |
$-513.13 (-4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $270.05 | 40 | $10,802.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $278.59 | 40 | $11,143.60 | $11,361.46 |
+$341.60 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,361.46
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,361.46
Total Return:
+13.61%