Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
4.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 10.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.6

30-Day Momentum

90
+43.6%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
6.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+79 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,436.16
Current Value
$10,281.42
Period P&L
$3,845.26
Max Drawdown
-58.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
16 / 9
Best Trade
+18.05%
Worst Trade
-6.58%
Avg Trade Return
+2.09%
Avg Hold Time
11.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$374,436.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,845.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,845.26
Gross Return
+59.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+59.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,436.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET $58.07 110 $6,387.70
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $60.40 110 $6,644.00 $6,692.46 +$256.30
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $67.72 98 $6,636.34
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $64.47 98 $6,318.06 $6,374.18 $-318.28
(-4.8%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $65.42 97 $6,345.70
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $64.74 97 $6,280.17 $6,308.65 $-65.53
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $66.85 94 $6,283.90
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $65.81 94 $6,186.14 $6,210.89 $-97.76
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $68.44 90 $6,159.46
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $69.23 90 $6,230.70 $6,282.13 +$71.24
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 111 $6,239.31
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.33 111 $6,253.18 $6,296.01 +$13.88
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $54.72 115 $6,292.81
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $51.12 115 $5,878.57 $5,881.77 $-414.24
(-6.6%)
TREND_BREAK
17.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $49.39 119 $5,877.42
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET $56.84 119 $6,764.01 $6,768.35 +$886.59
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.80 128 $6,758.40
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET $50.95 128 $6,521.92 $6,531.87 $-236.48
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET $54.39 120 $6,526.81
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $54.59 120 $6,550.80 $6,555.86 +$23.99
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $54.76 119 $6,516.36
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $53.80 119 $6,402.20 $6,441.71 $-114.16
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
18.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $55.71 115 $6,406.65
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $53.00 115 $6,095.00 $6,130.06 $-311.65
(-4.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $56.83 107 $6,080.81
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.88 107 $6,086.16 $6,135.41 +$5.35
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 143 $6,123.98
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.97 143 $7,146.42 $7,157.86 +$1,022.45
(+16.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 131 $7,156.53
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.88 131 $7,058.27 $7,059.60 $-98.26
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.46 125 $7,057.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 125 $8,331.07 $8,333.17 +$1,273.57
(+18.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $69.49 119 $8,269.31
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $76.46 119 $9,098.74 $9,162.60 +$829.43
(+10.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $83.04 110 $9,134.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $84.22 110 $9,264.75 $9,292.95 +$130.35
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $86.11 107 $9,213.68
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $87.57 107 $9,369.99 $9,449.26 +$156.31
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $96.63 97 $9,373.11
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $93.29 97 $9,049.14 $9,125.29 $-323.97
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $102.94 88 $9,058.72
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $103.86 88 $9,139.68 $9,206.25 +$80.96
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $126.33 72 $9,095.76
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $127.97 72 $9,213.84 $9,324.33 +$118.08
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $110.98 84 $9,322.32
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $113.97 84 $9,573.11 $9,575.12 +$250.79
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $124.81 76 $9,485.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $125.35 76 $9,526.32 $9,615.92 +$40.80
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
25 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 70 $9,493.25
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $145.13 70 $10,158.75 $10,281.42 +$665.50
(+7.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,281.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$281.42
Total Return: +2.81%
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