Compendium › Trent Follower › SQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 14 trades in period

-18.04%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,781.13
Current Value
14%
Win Rate
$10,714.28
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 5.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-7.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,893
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,714.28
Current Value
$8,781.13
Period P&L
$-1,933.17
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
2 / 12
Best Trade
+7.97%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-1.37%
Avg Hold Time
10.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,836.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,933.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,933.17
Gross Return
-18.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,714.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $75.33 142 $10,696.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $73.06 142 $10,374.48 $10,392.14 $-322.16
(-3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $73.49 141 $10,362.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $72.53 141 $10,226.73 $10,256.78 $-135.36
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $70.45 145 $10,215.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $70.56 145 $10,230.66 $10,272.19 +$15.41
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.78 139 $10,255.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $71.47 139 $9,934.33 $9,951.10 $-321.09
(-3.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET $75.02 132 $9,902.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $73.34 132 $9,680.88 $9,729.34 $-221.76
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.35 129 $9,720.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET $73.76 129 $9,515.04 $9,524.23 $-205.11
(-2.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $73.34 129 $9,460.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $73.00 129 $9,417.00 $9,480.37 $-43.86
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $77.46 122 $9,450.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $76.93 122 $9,385.44 $9,415.69 $-64.68
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $79.68 118 $9,402.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET $77.67 118 $9,165.06 $9,178.50 $-237.19
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $79.14 115 $9,100.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $85.44 115 $9,825.60 $9,903.58 +$725.08
(+8.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $81.43 121 $9,853.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $77.63 121 $9,393.23 $9,443.78 $-459.80
(-4.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $79.01 119 $9,402.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $77.64 119 $9,239.16 $9,280.75 $-163.03
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $56.80 163 $9,258.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $54.03 163 $8,807.15 $8,829.45 $-451.30
(-4.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $54.69 161 $8,805.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $54.39 161 $8,756.77 $8,781.13 $-48.32
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,781.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,218.87
Total Return: -12.19%
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