Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,870
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,049.31
Current Value
$8,244.74
Period P&L
$-804.57
Max Drawdown
-9.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+2.98%
Worst Trade
-4.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
7.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$261,856.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-804.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-804.57
Gross Return
-8.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,049.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:50am ET $78.28 115 $9,002.20
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:20pm ET $80.61 115 $9,270.72 $9,317.83 +$268.52
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $87.67 106 $9,293.02
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $85.74 106 $9,088.43 $9,113.24 $-204.59
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $94.40 96 $9,062.40
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $96.67 96 $9,280.32 $9,331.16 +$217.92
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.16 78 $9,294.48
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:55am ET $113.70 78 $8,868.60 $8,905.28 $-425.88
(-4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $104.46 85 $8,879.10
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $105.85 85 $8,997.25 $9,023.43 +$118.15
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:50am ET $124.81 72 $8,986.32
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $120.66 72 $8,687.43 $8,724.54 $-298.89
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $115.22 75 $8,641.71
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $114.28 75 $8,570.85 $8,653.68 $-70.86
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $116.71 74 $8,636.54
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $117.68 74 $8,708.32 $8,725.46 +$71.78
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $127.30 68 $8,656.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $127.97 68 $8,701.97 $8,771.03 +$45.57
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 63 $8,750.70
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $137.21 63 $8,643.92 $8,664.25 $-106.78
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.31 68 $8,657.08
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET $126.10 68 $8,574.80 $8,581.97 $-82.28
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 64 $8,528.72
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $129.66 64 $8,298.23 $8,351.49 $-230.48
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 69 $8,272.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $121.57 69 $8,388.33 $8,467.41 +$115.92
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $136.27 62 $8,448.97
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $132.92 62 $8,241.04 $8,259.48 $-207.93
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 59 $8,220.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $139.08 59 $8,205.73 $8,244.74 $-14.74
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,244.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,755.26
Total Return: -17.55%
Back to Trent Follower