Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:26:13

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 2.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,724.54
Current Value
$7,882.32
Period P&L
$-842.22
Max Drawdown
-9.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+1.40%
Worst Trade
-2.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.77%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,205.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-842.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-842.22
Gross Return
-9.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,724.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $115.22 75 $8,641.71
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $114.28 75 $8,570.85 $8,653.68 $-70.86
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $116.71 74 $8,636.54
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $117.68 74 $8,708.32 $8,725.46 +$71.78
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $127.30 68 $8,656.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $127.97 68 $8,701.97 $8,771.03 +$45.57
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 63 $8,750.70
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $137.21 63 $8,643.92 $8,664.25 $-106.78
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.31 68 $8,657.08
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET $126.10 68 $8,574.80 $8,581.97 $-82.28
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 64 $8,528.72
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $129.66 64 $8,298.23 $8,351.49 $-230.48
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 69 $8,272.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $121.57 69 $8,388.33 $8,467.41 +$115.92
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $136.27 62 $8,448.97
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $132.92 62 $8,241.04 $8,259.48 $-207.93
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 59 $8,220.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $139.08 59 $8,205.73 $8,244.74 $-14.74
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $136.26 60 $8,175.48
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $132.38 60 $7,943.10 $8,012.36 $-232.38
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
20h held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $143.61 55 $7,898.55
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $143.25 55 $7,878.75 $7,992.56 $-19.80
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $149.24 53 $7,909.72
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $146.49 53 $7,764.14 $7,846.98 $-145.58
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $135.56 57 $7,726.92
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $136.18 57 $7,762.26 $7,882.32 +$35.34
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,882.32
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,117.68
Total Return: -21.18%
Back to Trent Follower