Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:42:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

15
+2.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,107.85
Current Value
$5,286.23
Period P&L
$-195.60
Max Drawdown
-50.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+3.82%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$83,792.53
Estimated Fees
$209.48
Gross P&L
$-195.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-405.08
Gross Return
-3.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.93%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,107.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $1.41 3,730 $5,272.36
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $1.44 3,730 $5,356.24 $5,356.24 +$57.31
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:50pm ET $1.36 3,926 $5,356.24
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.37 3,926 $5,380.54 $5,380.54 $-2.54
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $1.51 3,572 $5,380.54
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.49 3,572 $5,307.39 $5,307.39 $-99.87
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $1.49 3,556 $5,307.39
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 4:15pm ET $1.48 3,556 $5,250.59 $5,250.59 $-83.19
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $1.52 3,445 $5,250.59
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 4:20pm ET $1.50 3,445 $5,175.45 $5,175.45 $-101.20
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 5:05am ET $1.17 4,439 $5,175.45
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 6:35am ET $1.14 4,439 $5,054.96 $5,054.96 $-146.06
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $1.17 4,308 $5,054.96
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 10:55pm ET $1.18 4,308 $5,091.80 $5,091.80 +$11.47
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 7:50am ET $1.23 4,146 $5,091.80
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $1.28 4,146 $5,286.23 $5,286.23 +$168.48
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,286.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,713.77
Total Return: -47.14%
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