Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 25.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,188
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,555.84
Current Value
$13,111.77
Period P&L
$1,555.93
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+9.55%
Worst Trade
-2.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
6.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$534,279.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,555.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,555.93
Gross Return
+13.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,555.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $157.09 73 $11,467.21
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:25pm ET $155.91 73 $11,381.43 $11,470.06 $-85.78
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $141.23 81 $11,439.63
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET $138.62 81 $11,228.23 $11,258.66 $-211.40
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $134.05 83 $11,125.74
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $133.05 83 $11,043.15 $11,176.07 $-82.58
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $117.63 95 $11,174.85
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET $114.83 95 $10,908.85 $10,910.07 $-266.00
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $114.49 95 $10,876.55
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $115.21 95 $10,944.95 $10,978.47 +$68.40
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $108.36 101 $10,943.86
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $106.65 101 $10,771.65 $10,806.27 $-172.21
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $114.26 94 $10,740.44
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $112.93 94 $10,615.52 $10,681.35 $-124.92
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $109.60 97 $10,631.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $112.21 97 $10,884.37 $10,934.52 +$253.17
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $129.17 84 $10,850.07
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $129.93 84 $10,913.70 $10,998.15 +$63.63
(+0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $127.49 86 $10,963.71
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $128.26 86 $11,030.36 $11,064.80 +$66.65
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $119.07 92 $10,954.44
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $121.60 92 $11,187.20 $11,297.56 +$232.76
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $119.81 94 $11,262.14
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $121.74 94 $11,443.56 $11,478.98 +$181.42
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 83 $11,439.89
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $134.18 83 $11,137.35 $11,176.44 $-302.54
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 75 $11,126.62
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $159.49 75 $11,962.12 $12,011.94 +$835.50
(+7.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.74 83 $11,930.01
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $152.96 83 $12,695.68 $12,777.62 +$765.68
(+6.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $152.16 83 $12,629.28
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $148.07 83 $12,289.81 $12,438.15 $-339.47
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 79 $12,360.34
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $151.91 79 $12,000.65 $12,078.46 $-359.69
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $156.74 77 $12,069.36
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $160.71 77 $12,374.67 $12,383.77 +$305.31
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET $163.89 75 $12,291.75
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $162.00 75 $12,150.00 $12,242.02 $-141.75
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $179.20 68 $12,185.81
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $174.62 68 $11,874.16 $11,930.37 $-311.65
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET $185.65 64 $11,881.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $203.38 64 $13,016.56 $13,065.33 +$1,134.96
(+9.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $209.81 62 $13,008.22
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $211.48 62 $13,111.76 $13,168.87 +$103.54
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
23 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $209.82 62 $13,008.90
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $208.90 62 $12,951.80 $13,111.77 $-57.10
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,111.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,111.77
Total Return: +31.12%
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