Compendium › Trent Follower › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 27 trades in period

-4.39%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,865.62
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$14,502.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-4.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,393
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,502.66
Current Value
$13,865.62
Period P&L
$-637.00
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+6.57%
Worst Trade
-3.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$787,821.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-637.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-637.00
Gross Return
-4.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $14,502.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $302.38 47 $14,211.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $317.87 47 $14,939.89 $15,230.91 +$728.27
(+5.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $260.94 58 $15,134.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $253.05 58 $14,676.90 $14,773.14 $-457.76
(-3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET $251.40 58 $14,581.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $249.05 58 $14,444.61 $14,636.55 $-136.59
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $255.96 57 $14,589.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $270.35 57 $15,409.67 $15,456.50 +$819.95
(+5.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $267.48 57 $15,246.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 1:25pm ET $268.40 57 $15,298.52 $15,508.94 +$52.44
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $276.33 56 $15,474.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:30am ET $268.76 56 $15,050.45 $15,084.90 $-424.03
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
54m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $251.17 60 $15,070.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:05pm ET $250.32 60 $15,018.90 $15,033.44 $-51.47
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $236.26 63 $14,884.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $236.78 63 $14,917.14 $15,066.20 +$32.76
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $260.55 57 $14,851.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $255.20 57 $14,546.57 $14,761.42 $-304.78
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.11 94 $14,674.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $159.67 94 $15,008.98 $15,096.25 +$334.84
(+2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $169.26 89 $15,064.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $167.52 89 $14,909.28 $14,941.39 $-154.86
(-1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $171.76 86 $14,771.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $183.05 86 $15,742.30 $15,912.33 +$970.94
(+6.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $180.29 88 $15,865.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $182.44 88 $16,054.72 $16,101.97 +$189.64
(+1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $185.64 86 $15,965.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $183.17 86 $15,752.62 $15,889.55 $-212.42
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $204.25 77 $15,727.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET $196.39 77 $15,122.03 $15,284.33 $-605.22
(-3.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 75 $15,276.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $197.08 75 $14,781.00 $14,789.33 $-495.00
(-3.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $204.31 72 $14,710.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $198.75 72 $14,310.00 $14,389.01 $-400.32
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
18.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $189.54 75 $14,215.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET $184.40 75 $13,830.00 $14,003.50 $-385.51
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $167.38 83 $13,892.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $172.80 83 $14,342.81 $14,453.36 +$449.86
(+3.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $177.05 81 $14,341.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 81 $14,151.91 $14,264.22 $-189.14
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 77 $14,240.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $178.42 77 $13,738.34 $13,762.18 $-502.04
(-3.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $172.95 79 $13,663.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $171.76 79 $13,569.04 $13,668.17 $-94.01
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $190.62 71 $13,534.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $188.85 71 $13,408.00 $13,542.15 $-126.02
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 66 $13,540.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $209.50 66 $13,827.00 $13,828.59 +$286.44
(+2.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $207.08 66 $13,667.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $205.11 66 $13,537.26 $13,698.57 $-130.02
(-1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $187.36 73 $13,677.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $185.33 73 $13,529.09 $13,550.38 $-148.19
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
27 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 67 $13,360.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $204.11 67 $13,675.37 $13,865.62 +$315.24
(+2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,865.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,865.62
Total Return: +38.66%
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