Compendium › Trent Follower › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 16 trades in period

-15.54%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,042.33
Current Value
13%
Win Rate
$7,154.22
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:40:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 2.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,333
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,154.22
Current Value
$6,042.33
Period P&L
$-1,111.93
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
2 / 14
Best Trade
+2.11%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-1.04%
Avg Hold Time
3.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$209,796.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,111.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,111.93
Gross Return
-15.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,154.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $29.12 245 $7,134.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET $28.26 245 $6,923.70 $6,943.55 $-210.70
(-3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $31.19 222 $6,924.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:25pm ET $30.96 222 $6,872.01 $6,891.38 $-52.17
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET $31.56 218 $6,880.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $31.33 218 $6,828.85 $6,840.19 $-51.19
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $30.32 225 $6,822.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:55pm ET $30.15 225 $6,782.63 $6,800.82 $-39.38
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $30.32 224 $6,791.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:55pm ET $30.96 224 $6,935.04 $6,944.18 +$143.36
(+2.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $36.20 191 $6,914.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:20am ET $35.34 191 $6,748.99 $6,778.96 $-165.22
(-2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:20am ET $35.78 189 $6,762.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:10pm ET $34.90 189 $6,596.10 $6,612.64 $-166.32
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $36.17 182 $6,582.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $35.91 182 $6,535.62 $6,565.32 $-47.32
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET $35.70 183 $6,533.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $35.66 183 $6,525.78 $6,558.00 $-7.32
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $28.00 234 $6,553.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $27.31 234 $6,389.37 $6,394.20 $-163.80
(-2.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 240 $6,384.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $26.75 240 $6,418.80 $6,429.00 +$34.80
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $22.48 286 $6,427.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $22.24 286 $6,359.24 $6,360.39 $-68.61
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET $26.30 241 $6,338.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.14 241 $6,298.54 $6,320.63 $-39.76
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.24 250 $6,310.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $24.21 250 $6,052.50 $6,063.13 $-257.50
(-4.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 271 $6,048.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $22.30 271 $6,041.95 $6,056.36 $-6.77
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 255 $6,047.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.66 255 $6,033.30 $6,042.33 $-14.03
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,042.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,957.67
Total Return: -39.58%
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