Compendium › Trent Follower › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-20 to present • 5 trades in period

+6.99%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,250.86
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,515.46
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:23:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.8/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 30.3/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 20.8

30-Day Momentum

40
+10.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
4.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.9 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,874
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,515.46
Current Value
$11,250.86
Period P&L
$735.40
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+10.92%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+1.47%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,655.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$735.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$735.40
Gross Return
+6.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,515.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $317.36 33 $10,472.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $308.66 33 $10,185.78 $10,228.36 $-287.10
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:05am ET $237.40 43 $10,208.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $237.20 43 $10,199.60 $10,219.76 $-8.60
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $231.72 44 $10,195.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $257.02 44 $11,308.88 $11,332.96 +$1,113.20
(+10.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $265.67 42 $11,158.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $262.78 42 $11,036.76 $11,211.37 $-121.59
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $321.32 34 $10,924.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $322.48 34 $10,964.37 $11,250.86 +$39.49
(+0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,250.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,250.86
Total Return: +12.51%
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