Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:25:56

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 19.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,871
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,552.97
Current Value
$10,939.56
Period P&L
$386.58
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+3.97%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
6.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$159,259.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$386.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$386.58
Gross Return
+3.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,552.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $1,103.03 9 $9,927.27
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,102.12 9 $9,919.04 $10,544.75 $-8.23
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,090.07 9 $9,810.63
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,093.35 9 $9,840.15 $10,574.27 +$29.52
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,105.51 9 $9,949.59
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $1,058.01 9 $9,522.09 $10,146.77 $-427.50
(-4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,047.06 9 $9,423.54
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,051.45 9 $9,463.05 $10,186.28 +$39.51
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $923.65 11 $10,160.15
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $956.50 11 $10,521.50 $10,547.63 +$361.35
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $899.30 11 $9,892.30
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $934.98 11 $10,284.83 $10,940.16 +$392.53
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
7 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:05am ET $1,124.73 9 $10,122.57
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,122.33 9 $10,100.97 $10,918.56 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $1,127.83 9 $10,150.43
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,130.16 9 $10,171.44 $10,939.56 +$21.00
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,939.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$939.56
Total Return: +9.40%
Back to Trent Follower