Compendium › Trent Follower › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-20 to present • 7 trades in period

-9.07%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,025.49
Current Value
14%
Win Rate
$9,724.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:38:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,639
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,724.77
Current Value
$9,025.49
Period P&L
$-882.42
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+4.47%
Worst Trade
-3.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.82%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$129,273.62
Estimated Fees
$323.18
Gross P&L
$-882.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,205.60
Gross Return
-9.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.40%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,724.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.61 160 $9,724.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $59.46 160 $9,540.22 $9,492.06 $-232.68
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $52.44 181 $9,492.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $50.61 181 $9,160.81 $9,114.18 $-377.88
(-3.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET $55.57 164 $9,114.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $54.72 164 $8,974.77 $8,929.55 $-184.63
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:05am ET $55.48 161 $8,929.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $57.96 161 $9,328.71 $9,328.71 +$353.51
(+4.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $55.18 169 $9,328.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.34 169 $9,186.70 $9,186.70 $-188.30
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $55.67 165 $9,186.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $55.39 165 $9,140.49 $9,140.49 $-92.02
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $42.92 213 $9,140.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:15pm ET $42.38 213 $9,025.49 $9,025.49 $-160.42
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,025.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-974.51
Total Return: -9.75%
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