Compendium › Trent Follower › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 33 trades in period

-8.19%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,886.82
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$10,768.63
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.7

30-Day Momentum

22
+3.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.4 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,311
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,768.63
Current Value
$9,886.82
Period P&L
$-881.80
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
14 / 19
Best Trade
+6.56%
Worst Trade
-13.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
14.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$575,243.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-881.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-881.80
Gross Return
-8.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,768.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $253.46 42 $10,645.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $242.62 42 $10,190.04 $10,313.34 $-455.28
(-4.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $249.46 41 $10,227.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $242.44 41 $9,940.04 $10,025.52 $-287.82
(-2.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $235.25 42 $9,880.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $204.18 42 $8,575.56 $8,720.58 $-1,304.94
(-13.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET $209.36 41 $8,583.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:50pm ET $206.81 41 $8,479.21 $8,616.03 $-104.55
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $231.63 37 $8,570.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $230.74 37 $8,537.38 $8,583.10 $-32.93
(-0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $236.77 36 $8,523.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:50pm ET $236.90 36 $8,528.40 $8,587.78 +$4.68
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $261.65 32 $8,372.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $260.75 32 $8,344.00 $8,558.98 $-28.80
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $260.51 32 $8,336.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $252.39 32 $8,076.35 $8,299.01 $-259.97
(-3.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
5h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET $286.90 28 $8,033.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET $285.98 28 $8,007.44 $8,273.25 $-25.76
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 27 $8,169.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $314.84 27 $8,500.68 $8,604.00 +$330.75
(+4.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET $333.22 25 $8,330.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET $340.65 25 $8,516.13 $8,789.62 +$185.62
(+2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:55am ET $337.59 26 $8,777.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET $344.39 26 $8,954.01 $8,966.29 +$176.67
(+2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $343.47 26 $8,930.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $342.94 26 $8,916.31 $8,952.38 $-13.91
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $373.07 23 $8,580.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET $365.51 23 $8,406.73 $8,778.50 $-173.88
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $407.92 21 $8,566.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET $398.04 21 $8,358.84 $8,571.02 $-207.48
(-2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $404.86 21 $8,501.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $411.87 21 $8,649.27 $8,718.32 +$147.29
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $447.52 19 $8,502.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $435.90 19 $8,282.10 $8,497.54 $-220.78
(-2.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
54m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET $439.05 19 $8,341.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $437.23 19 $8,307.36 $8,462.95 $-34.58
(-0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $386.26 21 $8,111.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $373.54 21 $7,844.33 $8,195.79 $-267.16
(-3.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
30m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:15am ET $417.84 19 $7,938.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $423.03 19 $8,037.57 $8,294.40 +$98.61
(+1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $428.93 19 $8,149.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 19 $8,051.82 $8,196.53 $-97.87
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $396.84 20 $7,936.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $403.56 20 $8,071.17 $8,330.84 +$134.31
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $401.07 20 $8,021.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $412.01 20 $8,240.20 $8,549.74 +$218.90
(+2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $418.90 20 $8,378.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $422.16 20 $8,443.15 $8,614.89 +$65.15
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 24 $8,358.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $371.12 24 $8,906.88 $9,163.05 +$548.16
(+6.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $376.67 24 $9,040.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.93 24 $9,070.32 $9,193.17 +$30.12
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 22 $9,112.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $405.87 22 $8,929.14 $9,010.24 $-182.93
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 20 $8,720.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:55am ET $452.61 20 $9,052.30 $9,342.54 +$332.30
(+3.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $464.55 20 $9,291.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 20 $9,644.70 $9,696.24 +$353.70
(+3.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $497.40 19 $9,450.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $496.64 19 $9,436.07 $9,681.71 $-14.53
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 18 $9,493.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $515.80 18 $9,284.40 $9,472.91 $-208.80
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
32 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $532.02 17 $9,044.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $530.81 17 $9,023.77 $9,452.34 $-20.57
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
33 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 15 $9,140.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $638.34 15 $9,575.03 $9,886.82 +$434.48
(+4.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,886.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-113.18
Total Return: -1.13%
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