Compendium › Trent Follower › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 23 trades in period

+3.90%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,722.87
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$5,508.17
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:16:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

19
+1.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.5 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,886
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,508.17
Current Value
$5,722.87
Period P&L
$214.63
Max Drawdown
-49.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
12 / 11
Best Trade
+8.66%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$250,273.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$214.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$214.63
Gross Return
+3.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,508.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:05am ET $7.04 782 $5,501.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 12:05pm ET $6.91 782 $5,403.62 $5,410.49 $-97.75
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET $5.82 929 $5,406.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:55pm ET $5.80 929 $5,388.20 $5,391.91 $-18.58
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
5h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $5.57 968 $5,391.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $5.39 968 $5,217.52 $5,217.67 $-174.24
(-3.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $4.97 1,049 $5,213.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $4.95 1,049 $5,192.65 $5,196.79 $-20.88
(-0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET $5.23 994 $5,195.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:15pm ET $5.12 994 $5,089.28 $5,090.73 $-106.06
(-2.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:30am ET $5.09 1,001 $5,090.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $5.11 1,001 $5,115.11 $5,115.76 +$25.03
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $5.58 916 $5,115.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.57 916 $5,102.12 $5,102.57 $-13.19
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET $4.83 1,057 $5,100.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $4.86 1,057 $5,131.74 $5,134.28 +$31.71
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,079 $5,130.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $4.82 1,079 $5,200.78 $5,204.41 +$70.14
(+1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $4.80 1,083 $5,202.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET $4.65 1,083 $5,035.95 $5,037.96 $-166.46
(-3.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,057 $5,036.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $4.82 1,057 $5,089.46 $5,090.81 +$52.85
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $5.22 975 $5,089.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $5.30 975 $5,167.50 $5,168.81 +$78.00
(+1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $4.72 1,096 $5,167.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.88 1,096 $5,343.00 $5,344.17 +$175.36
(+3.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.18 1,031 $5,341.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET $5.63 1,031 $5,803.81 $5,806.68 +$462.51
(+8.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $5.79 1,002 $5,801.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $5.84 1,002 $5,846.67 $5,851.87 +$45.19
(+0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $5.66 1,032 $5,846.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $5.73 1,032 $5,913.26 $5,918.85 +$66.98
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:25am ET $5.55 1,066 $5,918.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $5.52 1,066 $5,884.43 $5,885.06 $-33.79
(-0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $6.29 935 $5,879.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $6.10 935 $5,703.50 $5,709.00 $-176.06
(-3.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $6.42 889 $5,705.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $6.32 889 $5,617.15 $5,620.28 $-88.72
(-1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $6.43 874 $5,619.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $6.45 874 $5,638.96 $5,639.42 +$19.14
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $6.34 890 $5,638.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $6.44 890 $5,731.60 $5,732.87 +$93.45
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $6.65 862 $5,731.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $6.86 862 $5,909.01 $5,910.44 +$177.57
(+3.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $6.45 915 $5,906.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $6.25 915 $5,718.75 $5,722.87 $-187.57
(-3.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,722.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,277.13
Total Return: -42.77%
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