Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:29:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.4/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 40.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 38.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,162
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,825.11
Current Value
$18,419.67
Period P&L
$-1,405.43
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
7 / 19
Best Trade
+15.38%
Worst Trade
-6.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
11.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,061,459.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,405.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,405.43
Gross Return
-7.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $19,825.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 2:40pm ET $15.41 1,286 $19,810.83
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $14.44 1,286 $18,569.84 $18,584.10 $-1,240.99
(-6.3%)
TREND_BREAK
18.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $15.41 1,206 $18,578.43
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:30pm ET $16.29 1,206 $19,650.08 $19,655.75 +$1,071.65
(+5.8%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:35pm ET $18.05 1,089 $19,652.86
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $17.40 1,089 $18,943.16 $18,946.05 $-709.70
(-3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $15.52 1,221 $18,943.82
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $15.08 1,221 $18,406.58 $18,408.81 $-537.24
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $16.81 1,095 $18,401.48
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $17.38 1,095 $19,025.63 $19,032.96 +$624.15
(+3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $17.79 1,070 $19,029.95
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET $17.45 1,070 $18,666.15 $18,669.16 $-363.80
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:45am ET $18.19 1,026 $18,662.02
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:25pm ET $18.06 1,026 $18,524.43 $18,531.57 $-137.59
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $17.33 1,069 $18,525.77
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:20pm ET $18.82 1,069 $20,118.58 $20,124.38 +$1,592.81
(+8.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $18.69 1,076 $20,110.44
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET $21.56 1,076 $23,202.54 $23,216.48 +$3,092.10
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $20.39 1,138 $23,199.72
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:25am ET $19.73 1,138 $22,452.74 $22,469.50 $-746.98
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $20.14 1,115 $22,450.53
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $20.08 1,115 $22,383.63 $22,402.60 $-66.90
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET $16.87 1,327 $22,386.49
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $16.65 1,327 $22,087.92 $22,104.03 $-298.58
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET $14.45 1,529 $22,101.69
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.48 1,529 $22,139.92 $22,142.25 +$38.22
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $15.45 1,432 $22,131.56
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $15.32 1,432 $21,938.38 $21,949.07 $-193.18
(-0.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $15.52 1,414 $21,945.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $15.23 1,414 $21,528.15 $21,532.22 $-416.85
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $15.44 1,394 $21,520.99
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $15.38 1,394 $21,439.72 $21,450.95 $-81.27
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $16.71 1,283 $21,438.93
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $16.89 1,283 $21,663.46 $21,675.48 +$224.53
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $15.84 1,368 $21,669.12
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $15.81 1,368 $21,628.22 $21,634.58 $-40.90
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $16.53 1,308 $21,621.24
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET $15.95 1,308 $20,869.14 $20,882.48 $-752.10
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET $15.63 1,336 $20,881.68
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $15.76 1,336 $21,055.49 $21,056.29 +$173.81
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $16.33 1,289 $21,042.93
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:00am ET $15.86 1,289 $20,443.41 $20,456.78 $-599.51
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $15.57 1,313 $20,443.41
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:50am ET $15.10 1,313 $19,819.74 $19,833.11 $-623.67
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.39 1,288 $19,822.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.18 1,288 $19,551.84 $19,562.63 $-270.48
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $16.47 1,187 $19,549.89
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $15.89 1,187 $18,855.50 $18,868.24 $-694.39
(-3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $17.59 1,072 $18,856.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $17.40 1,072 $18,647.44 $18,659.20 $-209.04
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $17.92 1,041 $18,654.72
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $17.69 1,041 $18,415.19 $18,419.67 $-239.53
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,419.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,419.67
Total Return: +84.20%
Back to Trent Follower