Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:29:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

11
+2.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.2 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,163.78
Current Value
$7,345.33
Period P&L
$-818.46
Max Drawdown
-28.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
5 / 14
Best Trade
+8.50%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.49%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$307,218.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-818.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-818.46
Gross Return
-10.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,163.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $27.16 300 $8,146.50
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $29.27 300 $8,779.50 $8,796.79 +$633.00
(+7.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $28.02 314 $8,796.71
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.72 314 $8,702.51 $8,702.59 $-94.20
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $26.23 331 $8,681.77
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $26.11 331 $8,642.41 $8,663.24 $-39.36
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $20.36 425 $8,655.04
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $20.83 425 $8,853.34 $8,861.54 +$198.31
(+2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $19.19 461 $8,846.59
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $19.36 461 $8,925.01 $8,939.96 +$78.42
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.94 472 $8,938.22
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $18.34 472 $8,654.64 $8,656.38 $-283.58
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $17.93 482 $8,643.03
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.57 482 $8,466.33 $8,479.68 $-176.70
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $15.65 541 $8,469.35
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $15.63 541 $8,455.78 $8,466.10 $-13.58
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $16.24 521 $8,461.04
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $16.14 521 $8,406.39 $8,411.45 $-54.65
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 475 $8,409.87
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.62 475 $7,894.50 $7,896.08 $-515.37
(-6.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.54 450 $7,893.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.82 450 $8,018.87 $8,021.94 +$125.86
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $19.51 411 $8,018.61
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.05 411 $7,829.51 $7,832.84 $-189.10
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $19.07 410 $7,816.65
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $18.70 410 $7,669.05 $7,685.24 $-147.60
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET $16.34 470 $7,682.15
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.06 470 $7,545.85 $7,548.94 $-136.30
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:15am ET $16.25 464 $7,537.68
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.96 464 $7,405.44 $7,416.70 $-132.24
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:15am ET $16.28 455 $7,407.40
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:10am ET $15.71 455 $7,148.10 $7,157.40 $-259.30
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 433 $7,146.66
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $16.02 433 $6,938.82 $6,949.56 $-207.84
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
18 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:55am ET $16.89 411 $6,939.74
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $18.32 411 $7,529.52 $7,539.34 +$589.78
(+8.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $16.88 446 $7,528.48
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $16.44 446 $7,334.47 $7,345.33 $-194.01
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,345.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,654.67
Total Return: -26.55%
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