SOXL Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 43 trades in period
+55.38%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,281.42
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$6,616.93
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
4.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
10.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 10.6
30-Day Momentum
90
+43.6%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
6.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+79 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,879
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,616.93
Current Value
$10,281.42
Period P&L
$3,664.49
Max Drawdown
-58.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
22 /
21
Best Trade
+18.05%
Worst Trade
-8.71%
Avg Trade Return
+1.19%
Avg Hold Time
14.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$600,046.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,664.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,664.49
Gross Return
+55.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+55.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,616.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.00 | 147 | $6,614.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $44.92 | 147 | $6,603.24 | $6,605.92 |
$-11.02 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET | $35.23 | 187 | $6,588.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.16 | 187 | $6,014.37 | $6,032.28 |
$-573.64 (-8.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET | $32.24 | 187 | $6,029.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 12:25pm ET | $31.82 | 187 | $5,950.34 | $5,953.35 |
$-78.93 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.60 | 150 | $5,939.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:25pm ET | $39.23 | 150 | $5,884.50 | $5,898.60 |
$-54.75 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.93 | 134 | $5,885.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:30pm ET | $44.29 | 134 | $5,934.86 | $5,947.51 |
+$48.91 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.98 | 126 | $5,918.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:35pm ET | $46.27 | 126 | $5,829.43 | $5,858.09 |
$-89.42 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $49.32 | 118 | $5,819.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:40pm ET | $48.89 | 118 | $5,769.02 | $5,807.13 |
$-50.95 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.86 | 149 | $5,789.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 1:25pm ET | $43.70 | 149 | $6,511.30 | $6,529.04 |
+$721.91 (+12.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 137 | $6,506.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $47.33 | 137 | $6,484.21 | $6,506.28 |
$-22.76 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 121 | $6,472.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 121 | $6,310.15 | $6,344.14 |
$-162.14 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.03 | 117 | $6,321.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $53.86 | 117 | $6,301.62 | $6,324.25 |
$-19.89 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.41 | 112 | $6,317.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 112 | $6,040.72 | $6,047.05 |
$-277.20 (-4.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $59.11 | 102 | $6,029.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $60.70 | 102 | $6,191.40 | $6,209.23 |
+$162.18 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.92 | 97 | $6,200.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.16 | 97 | $6,223.52 | $6,232.51 |
+$23.28 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 95 | $6,222.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $70.95 | 95 | $6,740.25 | $6,750.26 |
+$517.75 (+8.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $63.90 | 105 | $6,709.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $66.03 | 105 | $6,932.63 | $6,973.39 |
+$223.13 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $61.19 | 113 | $6,915.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.41 | 113 | $6,600.43 | $6,658.79 |
$-314.60 (-4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.78 | 123 | $6,614.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $51.97 | 123 | $6,392.31 | $6,436.16 |
$-222.63 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $58.07 | 110 | $6,387.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.40 | 110 | $6,644.00 | $6,692.46 |
+$256.30 (+4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.72 | 98 | $6,636.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $64.47 | 98 | $6,318.06 | $6,374.18 |
$-318.28 (-4.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $65.42 | 97 | $6,345.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $64.74 | 97 | $6,280.17 | $6,308.65 |
$-65.53 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $66.85 | 94 | $6,283.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $65.81 | 94 | $6,186.14 | $6,210.89 |
$-97.76 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.44 | 90 | $6,159.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $69.23 | 90 | $6,230.70 | $6,282.13 |
+$71.24 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.21 | 111 | $6,239.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.33 | 111 | $6,253.18 | $6,296.01 |
+$13.88 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $54.72 | 115 | $6,292.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.12 | 115 | $5,878.57 | $5,881.77 |
$-414.24 (-6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $49.39 | 119 | $5,877.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $56.84 | 119 | $6,764.01 | $6,768.35 |
+$886.59 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.80 | 128 | $6,758.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $50.95 | 128 | $6,521.92 | $6,531.87 |
$-236.48 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $54.39 | 120 | $6,526.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $54.59 | 120 | $6,550.80 | $6,555.86 |
+$23.99 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $54.76 | 119 | $6,516.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.80 | 119 | $6,402.20 | $6,441.71 |
$-114.16 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.71 | 115 | $6,406.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $53.00 | 115 | $6,095.00 | $6,130.06 |
$-311.65 (-4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.83 | 107 | $6,080.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $56.88 | 107 | $6,086.16 | $6,135.41 |
+$5.35 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 143 | $6,123.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.97 | 143 | $7,146.42 | $7,157.86 |
+$1,022.45 (+16.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.63 | 131 | $7,156.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.88 | 131 | $7,058.27 | $7,059.60 |
$-98.26 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $56.46 | 125 | $7,057.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 125 | $8,331.07 | $8,333.17 |
+$1,273.57 (+18.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $69.49 | 119 | $8,269.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $76.46 | 119 | $9,098.74 | $9,162.60 |
+$829.43 (+10.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.04 | 110 | $9,134.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $84.22 | 110 | $9,264.75 | $9,292.95 |
+$130.35 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.11 | 107 | $9,213.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $87.57 | 107 | $9,369.99 | $9,449.26 |
+$156.31 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.63 | 97 | $9,373.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $93.29 | 97 | $9,049.14 | $9,125.29 |
$-323.97 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.94 | 88 | $9,058.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $103.86 | 88 | $9,139.68 | $9,206.25 |
+$80.96 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.33 | 72 | $9,095.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $127.97 | 72 | $9,213.84 | $9,324.33 |
+$118.08 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $110.98 | 84 | $9,322.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $113.97 | 84 | $9,573.11 | $9,575.12 |
+$250.79 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $124.81 | 76 | $9,485.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $125.35 | 76 | $9,526.32 | $9,615.92 |
+$40.80 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 70 | $9,493.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $145.13 | 70 | $10,158.75 | $10,281.42 |
+$665.50 (+7.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,281.42
Net Profit/Loss:
+$281.42
Total Return:
+2.81%