UVXY Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+11.93%
Last 6 Months Return
$27,759.18
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$24,800.54
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.0/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
40.1/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 38.7
30-Day Momentum
3
-1.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,104
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$24,800.54
Current Value
$27,759.18
Period P&L
$2,958.63
Max Drawdown
-44.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
14 /
19
Best Trade
+8.50%
Worst Trade
-5.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
11.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,814,316.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,958.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,958.63
Gross Return
+11.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $24,800.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET | $53.58 | 462 | $24,751.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 1:30pm ET | $54.85 | 462 | $25,340.70 | $25,389.60 |
+$589.05 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $52.08 | 487 | $25,360.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $55.80 | 487 | $27,174.60 | $27,203.68 |
+$1,814.08 (+7.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $56.55 | 481 | $27,200.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $60.30 | 481 | $29,004.30 | $29,007.43 |
+$1,803.75 (+6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:40am ET | $61.50 | 471 | $28,966.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $59.80 | 471 | $28,165.80 | $28,206.73 |
$-800.70 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $62.74 | 449 | $28,170.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $62.71 | 449 | $28,156.79 | $28,193.26 |
$-13.47 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $56.78 | 496 | $28,162.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET | $54.51 | 496 | $27,036.96 | $27,067.34 |
$-1,125.92 (-4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $43.69 | 619 | $27,044.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $42.94 | 619 | $26,579.86 | $26,602.47 |
$-464.87 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.92 | 720 | $26,582.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $37.69 | 720 | $27,136.80 | $27,156.87 |
+$554.40 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.75 | 700 | $27,125.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.12 | 700 | $27,386.59 | $27,417.83 |
+$260.96 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $37.90 | 723 | $27,401.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $37.42 | 723 | $27,054.66 | $27,070.79 |
$-347.04 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $35.69 | 758 | $27,053.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:10pm ET | $37.28 | 758 | $28,262.03 | $28,279.80 |
+$1,209.01 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.63 | 713 | $28,252.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $39.27 | 713 | $27,999.51 | $28,026.69 |
$-253.11 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $37.37 | 749 | $27,990.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $35.94 | 749 | $26,919.06 | $26,955.62 |
$-1,071.07 (-3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.00 | 657 | $26,937.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $40.06 | 657 | $26,319.35 | $26,337.97 |
$-617.65 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $38.97 | 675 | $26,303.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 2:20pm ET | $40.20 | 675 | $27,135.00 | $27,169.03 |
+$831.06 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $40.05 | 678 | $27,153.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $39.85 | 678 | $27,020.00 | $27,035.13 |
$-133.90 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $39.04 | 692 | $27,015.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:35pm ET | $38.27 | 692 | $26,482.84 | $26,502.29 |
$-532.84 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $40.79 | 649 | $26,472.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $39.56 | 649 | $25,674.44 | $25,704.02 |
$-798.27 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.08 | 570 | $25,695.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $44.48 | 570 | $25,353.60 | $25,362.02 |
$-342.00 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.80 | 592 | $25,337.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $45.58 | 592 | $26,983.36 | $27,007.84 |
+$1,645.82 (+6.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $51.28 | 526 | $26,973.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $52.59 | 526 | $27,662.34 | $27,696.90 |
+$689.06 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $45.89 | 603 | $27,673.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $47.82 | 603 | $28,835.46 | $28,859.18 |
+$1,162.28 (+4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $51.29 | 562 | $28,824.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.47 | 562 | $27,802.08 | $27,836.28 |
$-1,022.90 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.25 | 589 | $27,831.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:55pm ET | $49.44 | 589 | $29,120.16 | $29,125.42 |
+$1,289.14 (+4.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $51.76 | 562 | $29,087.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $50.46 | 562 | $28,358.52 | $28,396.34 |
$-729.08 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.84 | 547 | $28,356.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $48.95 | 547 | $26,775.65 | $26,815.51 |
$-1,580.83 (-5.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.00 | 515 | $26,780.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.42 | 515 | $29,056.35 | $29,091.86 |
+$2,276.35 (+8.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $61.23 | 475 | $29,084.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $60.33 | 475 | $28,656.75 | $28,664.36 |
$-427.50 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $51.77 | 553 | $28,628.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $51.05 | 553 | $28,230.65 | $28,266.20 |
$-398.16 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.65 | 558 | $28,262.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $51.38 | 558 | $28,668.92 | $28,672.42 |
+$406.22 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $38.95 | 736 | $28,667.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $38.97 | 736 | $28,681.19 | $28,686.40 |
+$13.98 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $40.75 | 703 | $28,647.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $39.61 | 703 | $27,845.83 | $27,884.98 |
$-801.42 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $37.68 | 740 | $27,883.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $37.51 | 740 | $27,757.40 | $27,759.18 |
$-125.80 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$27,759.18
Net Profit/Loss:
+$17,759.18
Total Return:
+177.59%