Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
9.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 41.0/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 30.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,830.17
Current Value
$11,111.06
Total P&L
$1,280.89
Max Drawdown
-1.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+7.37%
Worst Trade
-1.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.98%
Avg Hold Time
16.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$278,281.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,280.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,280.89
Gross Return
+13.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,830.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2024 10:35am ET $201.94 48 $9,693.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2024 3:30pm ET $216.82 48 $10,407.60 $10,544.65 +$714.47
(+7.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 10:10am ET $228.71 46 $10,520.66
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2024 2:15pm ET $228.76 46 $10,522.96 $10,546.95 +$2.30
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $186.30 56 $10,432.80
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 11:50am ET $183.80 56 $10,292.80 $10,406.95 $-140.00
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $186.53 55 $10,259.15
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:45am ET $191.29 55 $10,520.95 $10,668.75 +$261.80
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
21.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $199.04 53 $10,549.12
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET $201.92 53 $10,701.50 $10,821.12 +$152.38
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET $196.86 54 $10,630.17
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $198.54 54 $10,721.16 $10,912.11 +$90.99
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
7 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $208.90 52 $10,862.80
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:35am ET $209.83 52 $10,911.16 $10,960.47 +$48.36
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 3:30pm ET $207.18 52 $10,773.36
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 12:45pm ET $207.81 52 $10,806.12 $10,993.23 +$32.76
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
21.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:35am ET $211.71 51 $10,797.21
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:05pm ET $214.28 51 $10,928.03 $11,124.05 +$130.82
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 12:50pm ET $230.34 48 $11,056.32
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 3:30pm ET $228.62 48 $10,973.52 $11,041.25 $-82.80
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $235.63 46 $10,838.98
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:40am ET $237.38 46 $10,919.48 $11,121.75 +$80.50
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:00am ET $262.71 42 $11,033.82
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 2:50pm ET $263.18 42 $11,053.55 $11,141.48 +$19.73
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $283.40 39 $11,052.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $282.62 39 $11,022.18 $11,111.06 $-30.42
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,111.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,111.06
Total Return: +11.11%
Back to Trent Follower