Compendium › Trent Follower › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 10 trades executed

+10.71%
2 Years Return
$11,032.90
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,965.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 4, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 44%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
10.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 39.8/100
× Confidence 0.44 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (44%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,965.74
Current Value
$11,032.90
Total P&L
$1,067.16
Max Drawdown
-1.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+3.87%
Worst Trade
-1.52%
Avg Trade Return
+1.16%
Avg Hold Time
10.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$182,542.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,067.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,067.16
Gross Return
+10.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,965.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2024 9:45am ET $319.15 31 $9,893.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 9, 2024 9:30am ET $321.13 31 $9,955.03 $10,027.13 +$61.38
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $281.03 35 $9,836.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 1:00pm ET $279.70 35 $9,789.50 $9,980.58 $-46.55
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:35am ET $301.97 33 $9,965.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:45am ET $305.23 33 $10,072.59 $10,088.16 +$107.58
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $287.14 35 $10,049.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $282.78 35 $9,897.30 $9,935.56 $-152.60
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET $287.97 34 $9,790.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 2:25pm ET $290.06 34 $9,862.04 $10,006.79 +$71.23
(+0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:55am ET $291.64 34 $9,915.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:40pm ET $299.21 34 $10,173.15 $10,264.17 +$257.39
(+2.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:40am ET $307.56 33 $10,149.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $319.47 33 $10,542.51 $10,657.37 +$393.20
(+3.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $340.44 31 $10,553.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $339.92 31 $10,537.52 $10,641.25 $-16.12
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $352.78 30 $10,583.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $365.83 30 $10,975.05 $11,032.90 +$391.65
(+3.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,032.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,032.90
Total Return: +10.33%
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