Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:26:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 6.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
54,181
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,427.05
Current Value
$9,706.65
Total P&L
$-720.41
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
14 / 16
Best Trade
+4.25%
Worst Trade
-3.45%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
8.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$593,526.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-720.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-720.41
Gross Return
-6.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,427.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 10:40am ET $240.48 43 $10,340.64
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 3:55pm ET $241.94 43 $10,403.42 $10,489.83 +$62.78
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2024 10:30am ET $252.09 41 $10,335.69
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2024 2:05pm ET $255.01 41 $10,455.41 $10,609.55 +$119.72
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 12:40pm ET $262.59 40 $10,503.40
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2024 3:00pm ET $259.14 40 $10,365.60 $10,471.75 $-137.80
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2024 9:30am ET $267.45 39 $10,430.55
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2024 10:25am ET $258.23 39 $10,070.78 $10,111.98 $-359.77
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 11:35am ET $265.45 38 $10,087.10
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2024 2:50pm ET $265.26 38 $10,079.88 $10,104.76 $-7.22
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $306.04 33 $10,099.32
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:55pm ET $306.57 33 $10,116.81 $10,122.25 +$17.49
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $333.66 30 $10,009.80
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 2:00pm ET $338.70 30 $10,160.85 $10,273.30 +$151.05
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 10:15am ET $336.33 30 $10,089.90
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 2:30pm ET $340.30 30 $10,209.00 $10,392.40 +$119.10
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $363.84 28 $10,187.48
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 1:45pm ET $360.50 28 $10,093.86 $10,298.78 $-93.62
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 10:35am ET $345.21 29 $10,011.09
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 2:40pm ET $348.25 29 $10,099.25 $10,386.94 +$88.16
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $253.01 41 $10,373.41
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $249.52 41 $10,230.32 $10,243.85 $-143.09
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $256.94 39 $10,020.66
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET $257.12 39 $10,027.49 $10,250.67 +$6.83
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $255.00 40 $10,200.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:15pm ET $249.86 40 $9,994.40 $10,045.07 $-205.60
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $285.76 35 $10,001.43
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:20pm ET $291.34 35 $10,196.90 $10,240.55 +$195.47
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $247.30 41 $10,139.30
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 9:40am ET $243.74 41 $9,993.34 $10,094.59 $-145.96
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
20.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $254.00 39 $9,906.00
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $245.57 39 $9,577.23 $9,765.82 $-328.77
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 10:50am ET $264.06 36 $9,506.16
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 2:35pm ET $264.06 36 $9,506.22 $9,765.88 +$0.06
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $255.18 38 $9,696.75
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $260.53 38 $9,900.14 $9,969.28 +$203.39
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $185.85 53 $9,850.05
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $185.74 53 $9,844.22 $9,963.45 $-5.83
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET $199.22 50 $9,961.00
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $195.70 50 $9,785.00 $9,787.45 $-176.00
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $201.88 48 $9,690.24
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $201.62 48 $9,677.76 $9,774.97 $-12.48
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET $199.59 48 $9,580.32
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $199.83 48 $9,591.84 $9,786.49 +$11.52
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $171.01 57 $9,747.40
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $172.29 57 $9,820.81 $9,859.91 +$73.42
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $184.21 53 $9,762.87
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $180.03 53 $9,541.59 $9,638.63 $-221.28
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $183.06 52 $9,519.12
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $181.79 52 $9,453.08 $9,572.59 $-66.04
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.20 52 $9,526.14
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $185.86 52 $9,664.72 $9,711.17 +$138.58
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
27 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $188.07 51 $9,591.57
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.93 51 $9,482.43 $9,602.03 $-109.14
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
28 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 51 $9,437.55
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:30am ET $181.49 51 $9,255.99 $9,420.47 $-181.56
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
29 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $182.30 51 $9,297.55
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.24 51 $9,191.99 $9,314.90 $-105.57
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
30 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $184.41 50 $9,220.75
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $192.25 50 $9,612.50 $9,706.65 +$391.75
(+4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,706.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-293.35
Total Return: -2.93%
Back to Trent Follower