Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:29:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,547
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,844.00
Current Value
$9,949.56
Total P&L
$105.56
Max Drawdown
-2.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+4.40%
Worst Trade
-1.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
13.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$218,501.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$105.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$105.56
Gross Return
+1.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,844.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2024 10:15am ET $119.33 82 $9,784.65
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2024 3:15pm ET $119.03 82 $9,760.05 $9,819.40 $-24.60
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:45am ET $96.37 101 $9,733.37
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 1:30pm ET $96.12 101 $9,707.62 $9,793.64 $-25.76
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $79.91 122 $9,749.02
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $79.28 122 $9,672.16 $9,716.78 $-76.86
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 11:50am ET $81.86 118 $9,659.48
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 12:20pm ET $83.00 118 $9,794.00 $9,851.30 +$134.52
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
5 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $79.16 124 $9,815.84
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 3:40pm ET $80.39 124 $9,968.36 $10,003.82 +$152.52
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:15am ET $81.98 122 $10,001.56
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 2:30pm ET $81.87 122 $9,988.14 $9,990.40 $-13.42
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 9:30am ET $84.08 118 $9,921.44
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 2:50pm ET $83.68 118 $9,874.24 $9,943.20 $-47.20
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $85.90 115 $9,878.50
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:05am ET $89.68 115 $10,313.09 $10,377.79 +$434.59
(+4.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET $97.15 106 $10,297.37
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:40pm ET $96.53 106 $10,232.18 $10,312.60 $-65.19
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $118.21 87 $10,284.27
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $116.05 87 $10,096.35 $10,124.68 $-187.92
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:20am ET $114.46 88 $10,072.48
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $112.47 88 $9,897.36 $9,949.56 $-175.12
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,949.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-50.44
Total Return: -0.50%
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