Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,956.46
Current Value
$9,639.87
Total P&L
$-316.56
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
21
Winners / Losers
7 / 14
Best Trade
+3.30%
Worst Trade
-2.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$407,722.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-316.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-316.56
Gross Return
-3.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,956.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2024 9:30am ET $168.15 59 $9,920.73
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2024 2:25pm ET $171.15 59 $10,097.56 $10,133.28 +$176.83
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 19, 2024 9:30am ET $167.11 60 $10,026.30
🔴 SELL Jul 19, 2024 1:05pm ET $164.39 60 $9,863.10 $9,970.08 $-163.20
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2024 9:30am ET $183.00 54 $9,881.73
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2024 2:50pm ET $186.05 54 $10,046.92 $10,135.27 +$165.19
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2024 9:45am ET $181.32 55 $9,972.46
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2024 1:10pm ET $180.85 55 $9,946.75 $10,109.55 $-25.71
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:40am ET $176.25 57 $10,046.25
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2024 1:35pm ET $177.11 57 $10,095.27 $10,158.57 +$49.02
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $191.41 53 $10,144.47
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:35pm ET $191.53 53 $10,151.07 $10,165.18 +$6.60
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET $195.95 51 $9,993.20
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2024 12:05pm ET $192.68 51 $9,826.43 $9,998.41 $-166.77
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $174.84 57 $9,965.88
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 1:05pm ET $173.98 57 $9,916.58 $9,949.10 $-49.31
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:35am ET $184.46 53 $9,776.38
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $183.69 53 $9,735.70 $9,908.43 $-40.68
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 10:45am ET $196.86 50 $9,843.18
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2025 1:15pm ET $193.97 50 $9,698.50 $9,763.75 $-144.67
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 9:30am ET $195.34 49 $9,571.42
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 1:30pm ET $194.80 49 $9,545.20 $9,737.54 $-26.21
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $158.17 61 $9,648.37
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:30pm ET $156.95 61 $9,573.71 $9,662.87 $-74.66
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $163.33 59 $9,636.47
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:15am ET $167.62 59 $9,889.29 $9,915.69 +$252.82
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
20.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $169.91 58 $9,854.78
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:15pm ET $167.79 58 $9,732.11 $9,793.01 $-122.67
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $187.60 52 $9,755.20
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $182.28 52 $9,478.56 $9,516.37 $-276.64
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $185.32 51 $9,451.07
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $183.19 51 $9,342.44 $9,407.74 $-108.63
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:00am ET $157.57 59 $9,296.63
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $153.97 59 $9,084.23 $9,195.34 $-212.40
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $149.27 61 $9,105.47
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $148.39 61 $9,051.79 $9,141.66 $-53.68
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $151.53 60 $9,091.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $156.53 60 $9,391.80 $9,441.66 +$300.00
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $167.74 56 $9,393.44
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $171.79 56 $9,620.52 $9,668.74 +$227.08
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
21h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $175.35 55 $9,644.52
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $174.83 55 $9,615.66 $9,639.87 $-28.87
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,639.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-360.13
Total Return: -3.60%
Back to Trent Follower