Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 10%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
67.5/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 604.8/100
× Confidence 0.10 = 60.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (10%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,123
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,226.85
Current Value
$10,603.58
Total P&L
$376.74
Max Drawdown
-1.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+4.29%
Worst Trade
-1.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
21.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$102,794.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$376.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$376.74
Gross Return
+3.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,226.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:35am ET $45.23 226 $10,221.98
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 2:10pm ET $45.72 226 $10,331.59 $10,336.46 +$109.61
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $42.99 240 $10,316.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:25am ET $42.44 240 $10,185.60 $10,205.66 $-130.80
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
21.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $42.05 242 $10,176.10
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 2:20pm ET $42.72 242 $10,337.03 $10,366.59 +$160.93
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $40.87 253 $10,340.11
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $40.09 253 $10,141.51 $10,167.98 $-198.60
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $42.31 240 $10,154.40
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET $44.13 240 $10,590.00 $10,603.58 +$435.60
(+4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,603.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$603.58
Total Return: +6.04%
Back to Trent Follower