Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 6.9/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,688
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,889.24
Current Value
$8,572.05
Period P&L
$-317.19
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+0.72%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$104,958.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-317.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-317.19
Gross Return
-3.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,889.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $80.82 109 $8,809.38
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $81.40 109 $8,872.60 $8,952.46 +$63.22
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $69.56 128 $8,903.68
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $69.96 128 $8,954.88 $9,003.66 +$51.20
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $71.30 126 $8,983.80
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $69.89 126 $8,806.77 $8,826.63 $-177.03
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $72.92 121 $8,823.47
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $70.87 121 $8,575.27 $8,578.43 $-248.20
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $74.29 115 $8,543.72
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $74.68 115 $8,587.63 $8,622.34 +$43.91
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET $80.13 107 $8,573.91
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $79.66 107 $8,523.62 $8,572.05 $-50.29
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,572.05
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,427.95
Total Return: -14.28%
Back to Trent Follower